Forecast models for Zhengzhou on August 30 point to a daytime maximum near 28–30 °C, driven by moderating northerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and residual cooling after recent frontal passage across the North China Plain. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers shows partly cloudy conditions limiting peak insolation while light to moderate northeast winds enhance mixing and suppress boundary-layer heating. The narrow clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29 °C and 30 °C reflects uncertainty in afternoon cloud timing and exact wind speed, which can shift the realized high by 1–2 °C; clearer skies or lighter winds would favor the upper end of that range, whereas thicker cloud decks or stronger advection would cap temperatures nearer 28 °C. Resolution will hinge on the official maximum recorded at the Zhengzhou national reference station.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 30?
31°C 50%
29°C 26%
30°C 26%
28°C 20%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
19%
28°C
20%
29°C
26%
30°C
26%
31°C
50%
32°C or higher
3%
31°C 50%
29°C 26%
30°C 26%
28°C 20%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
19%
28°C
20%
29°C
26%
30°C
26%
31°C
50%
32°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Zhengzhou on August 30 point to a daytime maximum near 28–30 °C, driven by moderating northerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and residual cooling after recent frontal passage across the North China Plain. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers shows partly cloudy conditions limiting peak insolation while light to moderate northeast winds enhance mixing and suppress boundary-layer heating. The narrow clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29 °C and 30 °C reflects uncertainty in afternoon cloud timing and exact wind speed, which can shift the realized high by 1–2 °C; clearer skies or lighter winds would favor the upper end of that range, whereas thicker cloud decks or stronger advection would cap temperatures nearer 28 °C. Resolution will hinge on the official maximum recorded at the Zhengzhou national reference station.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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