**Consensus weather forecasts position 23°C as the dominant outcome for Zhengzhou’s August 30 minimum.** Multiple models, including those reflected in WeatherBug and Yr.no projections, indicate an overnight low near 23°C (73°F) under partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and dew points around 18–20°C that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with recent stabilization after the August 29 minimum of 20.5–21°C, as subtropical high pressure maintains mild conditions without strong frontal passages or significant precipitation. Traders have concentrated 90% implied probability on 23°C, with only 9.5% on 21°C, reflecting tight agreement across forecast ensembles and the absence of data shifts that would support lower thresholds. Resolution depends on official station readings, with any late-day updates to model runs serving as the key near-term catalyst.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 30?
23°C 99.5%
21°C 1.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
$3,119 ปริมาณ
$3,119 ปริมาณ
Aug 30, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
23°C 99.5%
21°C 1.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
$3,119 ปริมาณ
$3,119 ปริมาณ
Aug 30, 2026
15°C or below
$668 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$53 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$53 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$97 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$117 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$677 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$90 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$761 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$18 ปริมาณ
Yes
24°C
$95 ปริมาณ
No
25°C or higher
$490 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Consensus weather forecasts position 23°C as the dominant outcome for Zhengzhou’s August 30 minimum.** Multiple models, including those reflected in WeatherBug and Yr.no projections, indicate an overnight low near 23°C (73°F) under partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and dew points around 18–20°C that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with recent stabilization after the August 29 minimum of 20.5–21°C, as subtropical high pressure maintains mild conditions without strong frontal passages or significant precipitation. Traders have concentrated 90% implied probability on 23°C, with only 9.5% on 21°C, reflecting tight agreement across forecast ensembles and the absence of data shifts that would support lower thresholds. Resolution depends on official station readings, with any late-day updates to model runs serving as the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 29, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,119วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 29, 2026, 12:28 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Consensus weather forecasts position 23°C as the dominant outcome for Zhengzhou’s August 30 minimum.** Multiple models, including those reflected in WeatherBug and Yr.no projections, indicate an overnight low near 23°C (73°F) under partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and dew points around 18–20°C that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with recent stabilization after the August 29 minimum of 20.5–21°C, as subtropical high pressure maintains mild conditions without strong frontal passages or significant precipitation. Traders have concentrated 90% implied probability on 23°C, with only 9.5% on 21°C, reflecting tight agreement across forecast ensembles and the absence of data shifts that would support lower thresholds. Resolution depends on official station readings, with any late-day updates to model runs serving as the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,119วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 29, 2026, 12:28 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
**Consensus weather forecasts position 23°C as the dominant outcome for Zhengzhou’s August 30 minimum.** Multiple models, including those reflected in WeatherBug and Yr.no projections, indicate an overnight low near 23°C (73°F) under partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and dew points around 18–20°C that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with recent stabilization after the August 29 minimum of 20.5–21°C, as subtropical high pressure maintains mild conditions without strong frontal passages or significant precipitation. Traders have concentrated 90% implied probability on 23°C, with only 9.5% on 21°C, reflecting tight agreement across forecast ensembles and the absence of data shifts that would support lower thresholds. Resolution depends on official station readings, with any late-day updates to model runs serving as the key near-term catalyst.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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