**Incumbent Republican James Comer faces Democrat Drew Williams in Kentucky’s 1st Congressional District on November 3, 2026.** The district’s R+23 Partisan Voter Index and rural western Kentucky base have produced consistent Republican margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles, including Comer’s 2024 result near 75 percent. Comer secured renomination in the May primary with 88 percent of the vote, while Williams advanced unopposed on the Democratic side. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure, low fundraising for the challenger, and absence of competitive polling. Trader pricing on margins clusters in the 40–50 point range for a Republican win, consistent with the district’s structural partisan baseline and lack of recent catalysts that would narrow the gap. A national Democratic surge or unexpected late development could alter the outcome, but current conditions show few such signals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วRepublican 40-45% 29%
Republican 45-50% 28%
Republican 35-40% 26%
Republican 55%+ 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican 55%+
11%
Republican 50-55%
4%
Republican 45-50%
28%
Republican 40-45%
29%
Republican 35-40%
26%
Republican 30-35%
6%
Republican 25-30%
2%
Republican 15-25%
2%
Republican 0-15%
4%
Democrat Wins
1%
Republican 40-45% 29%
Republican 45-50% 28%
Republican 35-40% 26%
Republican 55%+ 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican 55%+
$427 ปริมาณ
11%
Republican 50-55%
$191 ปริมาณ
4%
Republican 45-50%
$803 ปริมาณ
28%
Republican 40-45%
$764 ปริมาณ
29%
Republican 35-40%
$985 ปริมาณ
26%
Republican 30-35%
$350 ปริมาณ
6%
Republican 25-30%
$219 ปริมาณ
2%
Republican 15-25%
$139 ปริมาณ
2%
Republican 0-15%
$231 ปริมาณ
4%
Democrat Wins
$225 ปริมาณ
1%
The 2026 KY-01 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 KY-01 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Incumbent Republican James Comer faces Democrat Drew Williams in Kentucky’s 1st Congressional District on November 3, 2026.** The district’s R+23 Partisan Voter Index and rural western Kentucky base have produced consistent Republican margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles, including Comer’s 2024 result near 75 percent. Comer secured renomination in the May primary with 88 percent of the vote, while Williams advanced unopposed on the Democratic side. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure, low fundraising for the challenger, and absence of competitive polling. Trader pricing on margins clusters in the 40–50 point range for a Republican win, consistent with the district’s structural partisan baseline and lack of recent catalysts that would narrow the gap. A national Democratic surge or unexpected late development could alter the outcome, but current conditions show few such signals.
The 2026 KY-01 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 KY-01 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 KY-01 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 10, 2026, 11:20 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,333วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 11:20 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 KY-01 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 KY-01 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Incumbent Republican James Comer faces Democrat Drew Williams in Kentucky’s 1st Congressional District on November 3, 2026.** The district’s R+23 Partisan Voter Index and rural western Kentucky base have produced consistent Republican margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles, including Comer’s 2024 result near 75 percent. Comer secured renomination in the May primary with 88 percent of the vote, while Williams advanced unopposed on the Democratic side. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure, low fundraising for the challenger, and absence of competitive polling. Trader pricing on margins clusters in the 40–50 point range for a Republican win, consistent with the district’s structural partisan baseline and lack of recent catalysts that would narrow the gap. A national Democratic surge or unexpected late development could alter the outcome, but current conditions show few such signals.
The 2026 KY-01 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 KY-01 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 KY-01 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,333วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 11:20 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Incumbent Republican James Comer faces Democrat Drew Williams in Kentucky’s 1st Congressional District on November 3, 2026.** The district’s R+23 Partisan Voter Index and rural western Kentucky base have produced consistent Republican margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles, including Comer’s 2024 result near 75 percent. Comer secured renomination in the May primary with 88 percent of the vote, while Williams advanced unopposed on the Democratic side. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure, low fundraising for the challenger, and absence of competitive polling. Trader pricing on margins clusters in the 40–50 point range for a Republican win, consistent with the district’s structural partisan baseline and lack of recent catalysts that would narrow the gap. A national Democratic surge or unexpected late development could alter the outcome, but current conditions show few such signals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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