**Persistent warm, humid conditions with widespread cloud cover and thunderstorm activity are anchoring trader expectations for Guangzhou's minimum temperature on August 30 around 25–28°C.** Multiple forecast models show nighttime lows near 26–27°C, with historical August averages around 25°C and recent observations (e.g., 26.1°C on August 28 amid heavy rain) reflecting limited radiative cooling due to high dew points near 27–28°C and extensive cloudiness. Subtropical monsoon dynamics sustain elevated overnight temperatures, as moisture and storms inhibit clear-sky cooling. Forecasts from sources like WeatherBug, Worldmeteo, and Met Office converge on 26–27°C lows for August 30 under continued rain and overcast skies, aligning with the market's leading 27°C outcome (41.5% implied probability) and clustered probabilities for 25°C and 26°C. Lower extremes (≤23°C) remain improbable without an atypical cold surge, while higher values (>29°C) would require drier, clearer conditions not currently indicated. Updated model runs closer to the date could refine these ranges, but current consensus supports the tight clustering around mid-20s Celsius.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 30?
27°C 51%
23°C 49%
26°C 27%
25°C 26%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
22°C or below
2%
23°C
49%
24°C
25%
25°C
26%
26°C
27%
27°C
42%
28°C
26%
29°C
25%
30°C
2%
31°C
10%
32°C or higher
8%
27°C 51%
23°C 49%
26°C 27%
25°C 26%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
22°C or below
$16 ปริมาณ
2%
23°C
$16 ปริมาณ
49%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
27°C
$19 ปริมาณ
42%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
30°C
$10 ปริมาณ
2%
31°C
$5 ปริมาณ
10%
32°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent warm, humid conditions with widespread cloud cover and thunderstorm activity are anchoring trader expectations for Guangzhou's minimum temperature on August 30 around 25–28°C.** Multiple forecast models show nighttime lows near 26–27°C, with historical August averages around 25°C and recent observations (e.g., 26.1°C on August 28 amid heavy rain) reflecting limited radiative cooling due to high dew points near 27–28°C and extensive cloudiness.
Subtropical monsoon dynamics sustain elevated overnight temperatures, as moisture and storms inhibit clear-sky cooling. Forecasts from sources like WeatherBug, Worldmeteo, and Met Office converge on 26–27°C lows for August 30 under continued rain and overcast skies, aligning with the market's leading 27°C outcome (41.5% implied probability) and clustered probabilities for 25°C and 26°C. Lower extremes (≤23°C) remain improbable without an atypical cold surge, while higher values (>29°C) would require drier, clearer conditions not currently indicated. Updated model runs closer to the date could refine these ranges, but current consensus supports the tight clustering around mid-20s Celsius.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$71วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent warm, humid conditions with widespread cloud cover and thunderstorm activity are anchoring trader expectations for Guangzhou's minimum temperature on August 30 around 25–28°C.** Multiple forecast models show nighttime lows near 26–27°C, with historical August averages around 25°C and recent observations (e.g., 26.1°C on August 28 amid heavy rain) reflecting limited radiative cooling due to high dew points near 27–28°C and extensive cloudiness.
Subtropical monsoon dynamics sustain elevated overnight temperatures, as moisture and storms inhibit clear-sky cooling. Forecasts from sources like WeatherBug, Worldmeteo, and Met Office converge on 26–27°C lows for August 30 under continued rain and overcast skies, aligning with the market's leading 27°C outcome (41.5% implied probability) and clustered probabilities for 25°C and 26°C. Lower extremes (≤23°C) remain improbable without an atypical cold surge, while higher values (>29°C) would require drier, clearer conditions not currently indicated. Updated model runs closer to the date could refine these ranges, but current consensus supports the tight clustering around mid-20s Celsius.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$71วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent warm, humid conditions with widespread cloud cover and thunderstorm activity are anchoring trader expectations for Guangzhou's minimum temperature on August 30 around 25–28°C.** Multiple forecast models show nighttime lows near 26–27°C, with historical August averages around 25°C and recent observations (e.g., 26.1°C on August 28 amid heavy rain) reflecting limited radiative cooling due to high dew points near 27–28°C and extensive cloudiness. Subtropical monsoon dynamics sustain elevated overnight temperatures, as moisture and storms inhibit clear-sky cooling. Forecasts from sources like WeatherBug, Worldmeteo, and Met Office converge on 26–27°C lows for August 30 under continued rain and overcast skies, aligning with the market's leading 27°C outcome (41.5% implied probability) and clustered probabilities for 25°C and 26°C. Lower extremes (≤23°C) remain improbable without an atypical cold surge, while higher values (>29°C) would require drier, clearer conditions not currently indicated. Updated model runs closer to the date could refine these ranges, but current consensus supports the tight clustering around mid-20s Celsius.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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