Forecast models for Guangzhou on September 13 point to a subtropical monsoon pattern with highs near 31–32°C and overnight lows shaped by expected thunderstorms and 70–80% rain probability. Light northeasterly winds and persistent cloud cover will limit nocturnal radiative cooling, favoring minimum temperatures in the 25–27°C range over the climatological 24.4°C average. Model consensus shows modest spread tied to the exact timing and intensity of evening convection, which can either trap heat or allow brief clearer intervals for greater cooling. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 25–26°C because these variables remain sensitive to the next model runs and local observations before midnight.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 13?
25°C 45%
22°C 39%
23°C 39%
28°C 39%
20°C or below
7%
21°C
13%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
22%
25°C
28%
26°C
32%
27°C
22%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C or higher
6%
25°C 45%
22°C 39%
23°C 39%
28°C 39%
20°C or below
7%
21°C
13%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
22%
25°C
28%
26°C
32%
27°C
22%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Guangzhou on September 13 point to a subtropical monsoon pattern with highs near 31–32°C and overnight lows shaped by expected thunderstorms and 70–80% rain probability. Light northeasterly winds and persistent cloud cover will limit nocturnal radiative cooling, favoring minimum temperatures in the 25–27°C range over the climatological 24.4°C average. Model consensus shows modest spread tied to the exact timing and intensity of evening convection, which can either trap heat or allow brief clearer intervals for greater cooling. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 25–26°C because these variables remain sensitive to the next model runs and local observations before midnight.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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