Persistent subtropical ridging combined with light southerly flow has suppressed overnight radiative cooling across Hong Kong, producing Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model consensus for a minimum temperature of 29°C on May 26. This atmospheric setup maintains elevated nighttime readings typical of late-spring conditions in the region, where average lows often range from 25–28°C. Traders have priced the 29°C outcome at 100% implied probability, reflecting the limited scope for significant deviation under current steering patterns and moisture profiles. A rapid increase in cloud cover, stronger northerly winds, or localized rainfall could enhance cooling and shift the recorded low, though such changes appear unlikely before final verification.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 26?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 26?
29°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$53,052 ปริมาณ
$53,052 ปริมาณ
May 26, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$53,052 ปริมาณ
$53,052 ปริมาณ
May 26, 2026
20°C or below
$897 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$947 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$964 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$1,115 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$905 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$5,257 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$6,907 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$6,818 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$8,560 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$15,760 ปริมาณ
Yes
30°C or higher
$4,920 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent subtropical ridging combined with light southerly flow has suppressed overnight radiative cooling across Hong Kong, producing Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model consensus for a minimum temperature of 29°C on May 26. This atmospheric setup maintains elevated nighttime readings typical of late-spring conditions in the region, where average lows often range from 25–28°C. Traders have priced the 29°C outcome at 100% implied probability, reflecting the limited scope for significant deviation under current steering patterns and moisture profiles. A rapid increase in cloud cover, stronger northerly winds, or localized rainfall could enhance cooling and shift the recorded low, though such changes appear unlikely before final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 22, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$53,052วันสิ้นสุด
May 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 22, 2026, 12:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent subtropical ridging combined with light southerly flow has suppressed overnight radiative cooling across Hong Kong, producing Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model consensus for a minimum temperature of 29°C on May 26. This atmospheric setup maintains elevated nighttime readings typical of late-spring conditions in the region, where average lows often range from 25–28°C. Traders have priced the 29°C outcome at 100% implied probability, reflecting the limited scope for significant deviation under current steering patterns and moisture profiles. A rapid increase in cloud cover, stronger northerly winds, or localized rainfall could enhance cooling and shift the recorded low, though such changes appear unlikely before final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$53,052วันสิ้นสุด
May 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 22, 2026, 12:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Persistent subtropical ridging combined with light southerly flow has suppressed overnight radiative cooling across Hong Kong, producing Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model consensus for a minimum temperature of 29°C on May 26. This atmospheric setup maintains elevated nighttime readings typical of late-spring conditions in the region, where average lows often range from 25–28°C. Traders have priced the 29°C outcome at 100% implied probability, reflecting the limited scope for significant deviation under current steering patterns and moisture profiles. A rapid increase in cloud cover, stronger northerly winds, or localized rainfall could enhance cooling and shift the recorded low, though such changes appear unlikely before final verification.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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