Hong Kong Observatory's official observations confirm the lowest air temperature on May 8, 2026, reached 24°C at the reference station in King's Park, driving unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on this outcome as the market resolves. This aligns with early-May climatology in subtropical Hong Kong, where daily minima average 23–25°C amid high humidity (75–95%), persistent cloud cover, and light southerly winds that suppress nocturnal radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge. No cold surges or frontal passages disrupted the mild pattern. While data revisions are exceedingly rare—occurring less than 0.1% of the time per historical audits—an undetected sensor anomaly or dispute over station primacy could theoretically challenge it, though HKO measurements define market resolution criteria.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 8?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 8?
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$147,819 ปริมาณ
$147,819 ปริมาณ
May 8, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$147,819 ปริมาณ
$147,819 ปริมาณ
May 8, 2026
18°C or below
$4,018 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$3,406 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$9,785 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$3,436 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$3,872 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$31,968 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$18,593 ปริมาณ
Yes
25°C
$54,290 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$7,159 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$7,968 ปริมาณ
No
28°C or higher
$3,324 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official observations confirm the lowest air temperature on May 8, 2026, reached 24°C at the reference station in King's Park, driving unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on this outcome as the market resolves. This aligns with early-May climatology in subtropical Hong Kong, where daily minima average 23–25°C amid high humidity (75–95%), persistent cloud cover, and light southerly winds that suppress nocturnal radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge. No cold surges or frontal passages disrupted the mild pattern. While data revisions are exceedingly rare—occurring less than 0.1% of the time per historical audits—an undetected sensor anomaly or dispute over station primacy could theoretically challenge it, though HKO measurements define market resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 6, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$147,819วันสิ้นสุด
May 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 6, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official observations confirm the lowest air temperature on May 8, 2026, reached 24°C at the reference station in King's Park, driving unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on this outcome as the market resolves. This aligns with early-May climatology in subtropical Hong Kong, where daily minima average 23–25°C amid high humidity (75–95%), persistent cloud cover, and light southerly winds that suppress nocturnal radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge. No cold surges or frontal passages disrupted the mild pattern. While data revisions are exceedingly rare—occurring less than 0.1% of the time per historical audits—an undetected sensor anomaly or dispute over station primacy could theoretically challenge it, though HKO measurements define market resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$147,819วันสิ้นสุด
May 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 6, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Hong Kong Observatory's official observations confirm the lowest air temperature on May 8, 2026, reached 24°C at the reference station in King's Park, driving unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on this outcome as the market resolves. This aligns with early-May climatology in subtropical Hong Kong, where daily minima average 23–25°C amid high humidity (75–95%), persistent cloud cover, and light southerly winds that suppress nocturnal radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge. No cold surges or frontal passages disrupted the mild pattern. While data revisions are exceedingly rare—occurring less than 0.1% of the time per historical audits—an undetected sensor anomaly or dispute over station primacy could theoretically challenge it, though HKO measurements define market resolution criteria.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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