Mild overnight conditions driven by extensive cloud cover, light southwesterly winds, and high humidity are positioning the lowest temperature in London on September 13 near 18°C as the leading outcome with 63.5% implied probability. Official forecasts from sources like the Met Office and GFS models indicate minimums holding between 17–19°C, well above the 1991–2020 average low of 11.7°C, as reduced radiative cooling under overcast skies and a stalled frontal system limit temperature drops. Recent model consensus shows little overnight cooling potential, with dew points near 16–17°C supporting these elevated readings. Traders appear to weigh the low likelihood of clearer breaks that could allow 16°C or below, while 19°C remains a secondary possibility if daytime warmth lingers longer into the evening. Updated forecasts through the day will refine resolution thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in London on September 13?
Lowest temperature in London on September 13?
18°C 64%
19°C 19%
17°C 18%
16°C 5.3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 13, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
5%
17°C
18%
18°C
64%
19°C
19%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
18°C 64%
19°C 19%
17°C 18%
16°C 5.3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 13, 2026
12°C or below
$155 ปริมาณ
<1%
13°C
$155 ปริมาณ
<1%
14°C
$55 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$274 ปริมาณ
1%
16°C
$530 ปริมาณ
5%
17°C
$2,239 ปริมาณ
18%
18°C
$2,229 ปริมาณ
64%
19°C
$1,348 ปริมาณ
19%
20°C
$862 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$155 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C or higher
$155 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mild overnight conditions driven by extensive cloud cover, light southwesterly winds, and high humidity are positioning the lowest temperature in London on September 13 near 18°C as the leading outcome with 63.5% implied probability. Official forecasts from sources like the Met Office and GFS models indicate minimums holding between 17–19°C, well above the 1991–2020 average low of 11.7°C, as reduced radiative cooling under overcast skies and a stalled frontal system limit temperature drops. Recent model consensus shows little overnight cooling potential, with dew points near 16–17°C supporting these elevated readings. Traders appear to weigh the low likelihood of clearer breaks that could allow 16°C or below, while 19°C remains a secondary possibility if daytime warmth lingers longer into the evening. Updated forecasts through the day will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,157วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mild overnight conditions driven by extensive cloud cover, light southwesterly winds, and high humidity are positioning the lowest temperature in London on September 13 near 18°C as the leading outcome with 63.5% implied probability. Official forecasts from sources like the Met Office and GFS models indicate minimums holding between 17–19°C, well above the 1991–2020 average low of 11.7°C, as reduced radiative cooling under overcast skies and a stalled frontal system limit temperature drops. Recent model consensus shows little overnight cooling potential, with dew points near 16–17°C supporting these elevated readings. Traders appear to weigh the low likelihood of clearer breaks that could allow 16°C or below, while 19°C remains a secondary possibility if daytime warmth lingers longer into the evening. Updated forecasts through the day will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,157วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Mild overnight conditions driven by extensive cloud cover, light southwesterly winds, and high humidity are positioning the lowest temperature in London on September 13 near 18°C as the leading outcome with 63.5% implied probability. Official forecasts from sources like the Met Office and GFS models indicate minimums holding between 17–19°C, well above the 1991–2020 average low of 11.7°C, as reduced radiative cooling under overcast skies and a stalled frontal system limit temperature drops. Recent model consensus shows little overnight cooling potential, with dew points near 16–17°C supporting these elevated readings. Traders appear to weigh the low likelihood of clearer breaks that could allow 16°C or below, while 19°C remains a secondary possibility if daytime warmth lingers longer into the evening. Updated forecasts through the day will refine resolution thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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