Traders see Seoul's July 12 overnight low clustered around the 23–25 °C range because the ongoing Changma monsoon continues to deliver extensive cloud cover and scattered showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Recent model guidance shows modest differences in the timing and extent of cloud breaks or rainfall intensity over the next 48 hours, which directly influence how far temperatures can fall below the seasonal 24 °C climatological average before sunrise. Persistent high humidity and light winds further suppress cooling, keeping outcomes below 22 °C or above 26 °C less probable unless a clearer, drier slot develops. Updated KMA and global ensemble runs expected in the next day will likely sharpen the distribution ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Seoul on July 12?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on July 12?
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$13,721 ปริมาณ
$13,721 ปริมาณ
Jul 12, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$13,721 ปริมาณ
$13,721 ปริมาณ
Jul 12, 2026
20°C or below
$533 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$510 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$1,266 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$1,777 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$1,631 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$2,870 ปริมาณ
Yes
26°C
$1,905 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$734 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$1,151 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$479 ปริมาณ
No
30°C or higher
$865 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see Seoul's July 12 overnight low clustered around the 23–25 °C range because the ongoing Changma monsoon continues to deliver extensive cloud cover and scattered showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Recent model guidance shows modest differences in the timing and extent of cloud breaks or rainfall intensity over the next 48 hours, which directly influence how far temperatures can fall below the seasonal 24 °C climatological average before sunrise. Persistent high humidity and light winds further suppress cooling, keeping outcomes below 22 °C or above 26 °C less probable unless a clearer, drier slot develops. Updated KMA and global ensemble runs expected in the next day will likely sharpen the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,721วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see Seoul's July 12 overnight low clustered around the 23–25 °C range because the ongoing Changma monsoon continues to deliver extensive cloud cover and scattered showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Recent model guidance shows modest differences in the timing and extent of cloud breaks or rainfall intensity over the next 48 hours, which directly influence how far temperatures can fall below the seasonal 24 °C climatological average before sunrise. Persistent high humidity and light winds further suppress cooling, keeping outcomes below 22 °C or above 26 °C less probable unless a clearer, drier slot develops. Updated KMA and global ensemble runs expected in the next day will likely sharpen the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,721วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Traders see Seoul's July 12 overnight low clustered around the 23–25 °C range because the ongoing Changma monsoon continues to deliver extensive cloud cover and scattered showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Recent model guidance shows modest differences in the timing and extent of cloud breaks or rainfall intensity over the next 48 hours, which directly influence how far temperatures can fall below the seasonal 24 °C climatological average before sunrise. Persistent high humidity and light winds further suppress cooling, keeping outcomes below 22 °C or above 26 °C less probable unless a clearer, drier slot develops. Updated KMA and global ensemble runs expected in the next day will likely sharpen the distribution ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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