**Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 25–28°C for Shenzhen’s daily minimum on August 29, 2026, because persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and weak nighttime winds are limiting radiative cooling in this subtropical coastal setting.** Overnight temperatures have hovered near 27–29°C with dew points around 26°C, indicating abundant atmospheric moisture that reduces the temperature drop after sunset. Scattered showers and thunderstorms, driven by the East Asian summer monsoon and local sea-breeze convergence, further suppress cooling while the urban heat island effect from dense development retains warmth. Official forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and global models show only modest overnight declines to the mid- or upper-20s, with small differences in timing of any clearing or rain intensity creating the narrow spread in market-implied probabilities. Resolution hinges on the official 24-hour minimum recorded by local stations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 29?
25°C 46%
27°C 45%
28°C 45%
29°C 45%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
5%
25°C
46%
26°C
42%
27°C
45%
28°C
45%
29°C
45%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 46%
27°C 45%
28°C 45%
29°C 45%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
$5,018 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$75 ปริมาณ
4%
24°C
$115 ปริมาณ
5%
25°C
$10 ปริมาณ
46%
26°C
$5 ปริมาณ
42%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
45%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
45%
29°C
$15 ปริมาณ
45%
30°C
$112 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$68 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C or higher
$138 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 25–28°C for Shenzhen’s daily minimum on August 29, 2026, because persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and weak nighttime winds are limiting radiative cooling in this subtropical coastal setting.**
Overnight temperatures have hovered near 27–29°C with dew points around 26°C, indicating abundant atmospheric moisture that reduces the temperature drop after sunset. Scattered showers and thunderstorms, driven by the East Asian summer monsoon and local sea-breeze convergence, further suppress cooling while the urban heat island effect from dense development retains warmth. Official forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and global models show only modest overnight declines to the mid- or upper-20s, with small differences in timing of any clearing or rain intensity creating the narrow spread in market-implied probabilities. Resolution hinges on the official 24-hour minimum recorded by local stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,555วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 25–28°C for Shenzhen’s daily minimum on August 29, 2026, because persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and weak nighttime winds are limiting radiative cooling in this subtropical coastal setting.**
Overnight temperatures have hovered near 27–29°C with dew points around 26°C, indicating abundant atmospheric moisture that reduces the temperature drop after sunset. Scattered showers and thunderstorms, driven by the East Asian summer monsoon and local sea-breeze convergence, further suppress cooling while the urban heat island effect from dense development retains warmth. Official forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and global models show only modest overnight declines to the mid- or upper-20s, with small differences in timing of any clearing or rain intensity creating the narrow spread in market-implied probabilities. Resolution hinges on the official 24-hour minimum recorded by local stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,555วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 25–28°C for Shenzhen’s daily minimum on August 29, 2026, because persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and weak nighttime winds are limiting radiative cooling in this subtropical coastal setting.** Overnight temperatures have hovered near 27–29°C with dew points around 26°C, indicating abundant atmospheric moisture that reduces the temperature drop after sunset. Scattered showers and thunderstorms, driven by the East Asian summer monsoon and local sea-breeze convergence, further suppress cooling while the urban heat island effect from dense development retains warmth. Official forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and global models show only modest overnight declines to the mid- or upper-20s, with small differences in timing of any clearing or rain intensity creating the narrow spread in market-implied probabilities. Resolution hinges on the official 24-hour minimum recorded by local stations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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