Forecast models from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology indicate Warsaw's overnight low on September 10 will likely fall between 9–12°C, driven by clear skies, light westerly winds, and radiative cooling after daytime highs near 18–20°C. A recent frontal passage has lowered dew points and stabilized conditions, enabling efficient heat loss after sunset, though scattered clouds or slightly stronger winds could limit the drop. Trader consensus clusters around these thresholds because ensemble runs show modest spread in minimum temperatures, with the 9°C-or-below outcome reflecting the strongest cooling scenarios and 11–12°C bins capturing milder outcomes if residual moisture or wind persists. Updated model guidance through the evening will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 10?
12°C 41%
10°C 37%
11°C 36%
9°C or below 34%
9°C or below
34%
10°C
37%
11°C
36%
12°C
41%
13°C
36%
14°C
25%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
12°C 41%
10°C 37%
11°C 36%
9°C or below 34%
9°C or below
34%
10°C
37%
11°C
36%
12°C
41%
13°C
36%
14°C
25%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology indicate Warsaw's overnight low on September 10 will likely fall between 9–12°C, driven by clear skies, light westerly winds, and radiative cooling after daytime highs near 18–20°C. A recent frontal passage has lowered dew points and stabilized conditions, enabling efficient heat loss after sunset, though scattered clouds or slightly stronger winds could limit the drop. Trader consensus clusters around these thresholds because ensemble runs show modest spread in minimum temperatures, with the 9°C-or-below outcome reflecting the strongest cooling scenarios and 11–12°C bins capturing milder outcomes if residual moisture or wind persists. Updated model guidance through the evening will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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