Current forecasts for Warsaw on September 3 point to overnight lows of 14–16°C under moderate westerly flow, variable cloud cover, and stable high pressure, limiting strong radiative cooling. These conditions favor minimum temperatures in the mid-teens, consistent with seasonal norms for early September in central Poland. Market pricing of substantial probability on 9–13°C outcomes reflects trader focus on model spread in boundary-layer mixing, potential for clearer skies enhancing nocturnal cooling, and uncertainty around any passing weak fronts or showers. Upcoming updated runs from global and regional models will likely refine the exact minimum before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 3?
19°C or higher 44%
9°C or below 38%
13°C 30%
12°C 30%
9°C or below
38%
10°C
2%
11°C
21%
12°C
30%
13°C
30%
14°C
25%
15°C
25%
16°C
17%
17°C
15%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
44%
19°C or higher 44%
9°C or below 38%
13°C 30%
12°C 30%
9°C or below
38%
10°C
2%
11°C
21%
12°C
30%
13°C
30%
14°C
25%
15°C
25%
16°C
17%
17°C
15%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
44%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Warsaw on September 3 point to overnight lows of 14–16°C under moderate westerly flow, variable cloud cover, and stable high pressure, limiting strong radiative cooling. These conditions favor minimum temperatures in the mid-teens, consistent with seasonal norms for early September in central Poland. Market pricing of substantial probability on 9–13°C outcomes reflects trader focus on model spread in boundary-layer mixing, potential for clearer skies enhancing nocturnal cooling, and uncertainty around any passing weak fronts or showers. Upcoming updated runs from global and regional models will likely refine the exact minimum before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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