Current forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles point to a mild overnight minimum in Warsaw on September 4 driven by increasing cloud cover, light southwesterly winds, and a passing frontal system that limits radiative cooling. Model guidance consistently shows temperatures falling to the 15–16 °C range after midnight, with 15 °C favored where precipitation timing allows slightly more clearing. The close market split between 15 °C (53 %) and 16 °C (47.5 %) reflects small ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed; stronger mixing or earlier rain would hold the low near 16 °C, while clearer breaks could dip to 15 °C or marginally lower. Historical early-September averages near 12–14 °C underscore how this synoptic pattern keeps readings above typical values.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 4?
13°C 81%
17°C 81%
14°C 80%
19°C 80%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 4, 2026
12°C or below
49%
13°C
81%
14°C
80%
15°C
52%
16°C
49%
17°C
81%
18°C
79%
19°C
80%
20°C
8%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
49%
13°C 81%
17°C 81%
14°C 80%
19°C 80%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 4, 2026
12°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
81%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
80%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
52%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
81%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
79%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
80%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
22°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles point to a mild overnight minimum in Warsaw on September 4 driven by increasing cloud cover, light southwesterly winds, and a passing frontal system that limits radiative cooling. Model guidance consistently shows temperatures falling to the 15–16 °C range after midnight, with 15 °C favored where precipitation timing allows slightly more clearing. The close market split between 15 °C (53 %) and 16 °C (47.5 %) reflects small ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed; stronger mixing or earlier rain would hold the low near 16 °C, while clearer breaks could dip to 15 °C or marginally lower. Historical early-September averages near 12–14 °C underscore how this synoptic pattern keeps readings above typical values.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles point to a mild overnight minimum in Warsaw on September 4 driven by increasing cloud cover, light southwesterly winds, and a passing frontal system that limits radiative cooling. Model guidance consistently shows temperatures falling to the 15–16 °C range after midnight, with 15 °C favored where precipitation timing allows slightly more clearing. The close market split between 15 °C (53 %) and 16 °C (47.5 %) reflects small ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed; stronger mixing or earlier rain would hold the low near 16 °C, while clearer breaks could dip to 15 °C or marginally lower. Historical early-September averages near 12–14 °C underscore how this synoptic pattern keeps readings above typical values.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles point to a mild overnight minimum in Warsaw on September 4 driven by increasing cloud cover, light southwesterly winds, and a passing frontal system that limits radiative cooling. Model guidance consistently shows temperatures falling to the 15–16 °C range after midnight, with 15 °C favored where precipitation timing allows slightly more clearing. The close market split between 15 °C (53 %) and 16 °C (47.5 %) reflects small ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed; stronger mixing or earlier rain would hold the low near 16 °C, while clearer breaks could dip to 15 °C or marginally lower. Historical early-September averages near 12–14 °C underscore how this synoptic pattern keeps readings above typical values.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย