Pennsylvania's 10th congressional district features a rematch between incumbent Republican Scott Perry and Democrat Janelle Stelson ahead of the November 2026 election. Stelson narrowed the gap to roughly 1 percent in 2024 and has led early fundraising in the current cycle, with the race already the most expensive in the state. Forecasters rate the contest a toss-up due to its suburban Harrisburg-York makeup and competitive history, yet trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic outcome. Midterm dynamics, candidate momentum, and recent contribution reports appear to underpin the implied probability gap, with the November ballot and any late-cycle polling shifts remaining key variables that could alter positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPA-10 House Election Winner
PA-10 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
79%
Republican Party
22%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,924 ปริมาณ
79%
Republican Party
$1,623 ปริมาณ
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania's 10th congressional district features a rematch between incumbent Republican Scott Perry and Democrat Janelle Stelson ahead of the November 2026 election. Stelson narrowed the gap to roughly 1 percent in 2024 and has led early fundraising in the current cycle, with the race already the most expensive in the state. Forecasters rate the contest a toss-up due to its suburban Harrisburg-York makeup and competitive history, yet trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic outcome. Midterm dynamics, candidate momentum, and recent contribution reports appear to underpin the implied probability gap, with the November ballot and any late-cycle polling shifts remaining key variables that could alter positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,547วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania's 10th congressional district features a rematch between incumbent Republican Scott Perry and Democrat Janelle Stelson ahead of the November 2026 election. Stelson narrowed the gap to roughly 1 percent in 2024 and has led early fundraising in the current cycle, with the race already the most expensive in the state. Forecasters rate the contest a toss-up due to its suburban Harrisburg-York makeup and competitive history, yet trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic outcome. Midterm dynamics, candidate momentum, and recent contribution reports appear to underpin the implied probability gap, with the November ballot and any late-cycle polling shifts remaining key variables that could alter positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,547วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Pennsylvania's 10th congressional district features a rematch between incumbent Republican Scott Perry and Democrat Janelle Stelson ahead of the November 2026 election. Stelson narrowed the gap to roughly 1 percent in 2024 and has led early fundraising in the current cycle, with the race already the most expensive in the state. Forecasters rate the contest a toss-up due to its suburban Harrisburg-York makeup and competitive history, yet trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic outcome. Midterm dynamics, candidate momentum, and recent contribution reports appear to underpin the implied probability gap, with the November ballot and any late-cycle polling shifts remaining key variables that could alter positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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