Imelda Castro Castro's designation in late August 2026 as Morena's state coordinator for the defense of the Fourth Transformation positions her as the party's presumptive nominee for Sinaloa governor in the June 2027 election. This followed the resignation of Rubén Rocha Moya amid U.S. charges and subsequent interim leadership changes, prompting national party leadership to consolidate behind Castro, a former senator with roots outside the prior governor's inner circle. Traders assign her an 84.5% implied probability based on Morena's dominance in recent state contests and the absence of competitive internal challengers advancing past the coordination stage. Lower-priced alternatives, including María Teresa Guerra Ochoa and other registered aspirants, reflect limited momentum outside narrow factional support. Opposition candidates from PRI and other parties remain further back pending formal nominations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วImelda Castro Castro 85%
María Teresa Guerra Ochoa 4.5%
Omar López Campos 3.9%
Juan de Dios Gámez Mendívil 3.4%
$31,089 ปริมาณ
$31,089 ปริมาณ
Imelda Castro Castro
85%
María Teresa Guerra Ochoa
4%
Omar López Campos
4%
Juan de Dios Gámez Mendívil
3%
Tomás de Jesús López Bajo
3%
Gerardo Octavio Vargas Landeros
3%
Graciela Domínguez Nava
3%
Lucila Ayala de Moreschi
2%
Jesús Alfonso Ibarra Ramos
2%
Ricardo Madrid Pérez
2%
Guillermo Romero Rodríguez
2%
Paloma Sánchez Ramos
2%
Roxana Rubio Valdez
1%
Sergio Torres Félix
1%
Mario Zamora Gastélum
1%
Rodolfo Valenzuela Sánchez
1%
Eduardo Ortiz Hernández
1%
Kristiam Alexis Espinoza García
1%
Jesús Fernando García Hernández
1%
Estrella Palacios Domínguez
<1%
María Fernanda Rivera
<1%
Imelda Castro Castro 85%
María Teresa Guerra Ochoa 4.5%
Omar López Campos 3.9%
Juan de Dios Gámez Mendívil 3.4%
$31,089 ปริมาณ
$31,089 ปริมาณ
Imelda Castro Castro
85%
María Teresa Guerra Ochoa
4%
Omar López Campos
4%
Juan de Dios Gámez Mendívil
3%
Tomás de Jesús López Bajo
3%
Gerardo Octavio Vargas Landeros
3%
Graciela Domínguez Nava
3%
Lucila Ayala de Moreschi
2%
Jesús Alfonso Ibarra Ramos
2%
Ricardo Madrid Pérez
2%
Guillermo Romero Rodríguez
2%
Paloma Sánchez Ramos
2%
Roxana Rubio Valdez
1%
Sergio Torres Félix
1%
Mario Zamora Gastélum
1%
Rodolfo Valenzuela Sánchez
1%
Eduardo Ortiz Hernández
1%
Kristiam Alexis Espinoza García
1%
Jesús Fernando García Hernández
1%
Estrella Palacios Domínguez
<1%
María Fernanda Rivera
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 5, 2026, 6:59 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Imelda Castro Castro's designation in late August 2026 as Morena's state coordinator for the defense of the Fourth Transformation positions her as the party's presumptive nominee for Sinaloa governor in the June 2027 election. This followed the resignation of Rubén Rocha Moya amid U.S. charges and subsequent interim leadership changes, prompting national party leadership to consolidate behind Castro, a former senator with roots outside the prior governor's inner circle. Traders assign her an 84.5% implied probability based on Morena's dominance in recent state contests and the absence of competitive internal challengers advancing past the coordination stage. Lower-priced alternatives, including María Teresa Guerra Ochoa and other registered aspirants, reflect limited momentum outside narrow factional support. Opposition candidates from PRI and other parties remain further back pending formal nominations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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