Traders favor All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) at 58.5% implied probability for winning the West Bengal Legislative Assembly, reflecting recent opinion polls like VoteVibe projecting 174-184 seats for the incumbent party versus 100 for Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), bolstered by Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee's strong preference as next leader in surveys. BJP's 40% odds capture its momentum from anti-incumbency on unemployment and corruption allegations, sharpened by PM Modi and Amit Shah rallies in the past week, plus tactical candidate targeting. Special Intensive Revision deleted ~9 million voters, sparking TMC claims of bias, while Phase 1 polling looms April 23 across 152 seats in this first-past-the-post race for 294 constituencies, with results May 4. Minor parties like CPI(M), INC trail amid bipolar contest.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วผู้ชนะการเลือกตั้งสมาชิกสภานิติบัญญัติเบงกอลตะวันตก
ผู้ชนะการเลือกตั้งสมาชิกสภานิติบัญญัติเบงกอลตะวันตก
AITC 58.7%
BJP 40.0%
CPI <1%
CPI(M) <1%
$1,895,871 ปริมาณ
$1,895,871 ปริมาณ
Apr 29, 2026
AITC
59%
BJP
40%
CPI
<1%
CPI(M)
<1%
INC
<1%
บีจีพีเอ็ม
<1%
AITC 58.7%
BJP 40.0%
CPI <1%
CPI(M) <1%
$1,895,871 ปริมาณ
$1,895,871 ปริมาณ
Apr 29, 2026
AITC
$102,269 ปริมาณ
59%
BJP
$153,790 ปริมาณ
40%
CPI
$793,310 ปริมาณ
<1%
CPI(M)
$30,875 ปริมาณ
<1%
INC
$22,707 ปริมาณ
<1%
บีจีพีเอ็ม
$792,922 ปริมาณ
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).Traders favor All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) at 58.5% implied probability for winning the West Bengal Legislative Assembly, reflecting recent opinion polls like VoteVibe projecting 174-184 seats for the incumbent party versus 100 for Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), bolstered by Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee's strong preference as next leader in surveys. BJP's 40% odds capture its momentum from anti-incumbency on unemployment and corruption allegations, sharpened by PM Modi and Amit Shah rallies in the past week, plus tactical candidate targeting. Special Intensive Revision deleted ~9 million voters, sparking TMC claims of bias, while Phase 1 polling looms April 23 across 152 seats in this first-past-the-post race for 294 constituencies, with results May 4. Minor parties like CPI(M), INC trail amid bipolar contest.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 23, 2025, 3:13 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,895,871วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 23, 2025, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).Traders favor All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) at 58.5% implied probability for winning the West Bengal Legislative Assembly, reflecting recent opinion polls like VoteVibe projecting 174-184 seats for the incumbent party versus 100 for Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), bolstered by Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee's strong preference as next leader in surveys. BJP's 40% odds capture its momentum from anti-incumbency on unemployment and corruption allegations, sharpened by PM Modi and Amit Shah rallies in the past week, plus tactical candidate targeting. Special Intensive Revision deleted ~9 million voters, sparking TMC claims of bias, while Phase 1 polling looms April 23 across 152 seats in this first-past-the-post race for 294 constituencies, with results May 4. Minor parties like CPI(M), INC trail amid bipolar contest.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,895,871วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 23, 2025, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders favor All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) at 58.5% implied probability for winning the West Bengal Legislative Assembly, reflecting recent opinion polls like VoteVibe projecting 174-184 seats for the incumbent party versus 100 for Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), bolstered by Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee's strong preference as next leader in surveys. BJP's 40% odds capture its momentum from anti-incumbency on unemployment and corruption allegations, sharpened by PM Modi and Amit Shah rallies in the past week, plus tactical candidate targeting. Special Intensive Revision deleted ~9 million voters, sparking TMC claims of bias, while Phase 1 polling looms April 23 across 152 seats in this first-past-the-post race for 294 constituencies, with results May 4. Minor parties like CPI(M), INC trail amid bipolar contest.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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