Recent high-temperature orange warnings from the Shandong Meteorological Observatory, combined with model consensus on persistent heat across northern Qingdao, underpin the market's 100% implied probability for a 37°C daily maximum on August 6. Official forecasts indicate 37–39°C peaks in affected inland and northern zones amid the ongoing regional heatwave, with relative humidity amplifying the conditions. Sea breezes typical of the coastal location could moderate readings, while any late-day cloud development or measurement revisions at official stations represent the main variables that might shift the final observed high. Updated agency briefings later today will provide the decisive observational data for market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 6?
37°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$44,179 Vol.
$44,179 Vol.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C or higher
No
37°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$44,179 Vol.
$44,179 Vol.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Recent high-temperature orange warnings from the Shandong Meteorological Observatory, combined with model consensus on persistent heat across northern Qingdao, underpin the market's 100% implied probability for a 37°C daily maximum on August 6. Official forecasts indicate 37–39°C peaks in affected inland and northern zones amid the ongoing regional heatwave, with relative humidity amplifying the conditions. Sea breezes typical of the coastal location could moderate readings, while any late-day cloud development or measurement revisions at official stations represent the main variables that might shift the final observed high. Updated agency briefings later today will provide the decisive observational data for market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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