Trader consensus has converged on a 15°C minimum in London on August 6 due to the latest Met Office and ECMWF model runs showing overnight lows stabilizing near that threshold amid mild, stable air masses with light winds and clear intervals. This aligns with early-August climatology, where typical minima range 13–15°C, and recent observations from central London stations confirm no significant nocturnal cooling below 15°C through the early morning hours. Official guidance highlights limited cloud cover and a modest high of 22–24°C, reinforcing the narrow temperature range. Uncertainties remain around localized urban heat-island effects or minor forecast revisions from updated satellite data, which could shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C if steering patterns change before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in London on August 6?
15°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$17,009 Vol.
$17,009 Vol.
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$17,009 Vol.
$17,009 Vol.
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Trader consensus has converged on a 15°C minimum in London on August 6 due to the latest Met Office and ECMWF model runs showing overnight lows stabilizing near that threshold amid mild, stable air masses with light winds and clear intervals. This aligns with early-August climatology, where typical minima range 13–15°C, and recent observations from central London stations confirm no significant nocturnal cooling below 15°C through the early morning hours. Official guidance highlights limited cloud cover and a modest high of 22–24°C, reinforcing the narrow temperature range. Uncertainties remain around localized urban heat-island effects or minor forecast revisions from updated satellite data, which could shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C if steering patterns change before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong