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Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

Who will place first in the Alaska Governor primary?

icon for Who will place first in the Alaska Governor primary?
Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

Who will place first in the Alaska Governor primary?

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 100.0%

Click Bishop <1%

Dave Bronson <1%

Adam Crum <1%

Polymarket

$2,834 Vol.

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 100.0%

Click Bishop <1%

Dave Bronson <1%

Adam Crum <1%

Polymarket

$2,834 Vol.

icon for Click Bishop

Click Bishop

$40 Vol.

No

icon for Dave Bronson

Dave Bronson

$233 Vol.

No

icon for Adam Crum

Adam Crum

$40 Vol.

No

icon for Nancy Dahlstrom

Nancy Dahlstrom

$150 Vol.

No

icon for Edna DeVries

Edna DeVries

$90 Vol.

No

icon for Matt Heilala

Matt Heilala

$121 Vol.

No

icon for Shelley Hughes

Shelley Hughes

$124 Vol.

No

icon for Hank Kroll

Hank Kroll

$126 Vol.

No

icon for James Parkin

James Parkin

$95 Vol.

No

icon for Treg Taylor

Treg Taylor

$87 Vol.

No

icon for Bernadette Wilson

Bernadette Wilson

$40 Vol.

No

icon for Tom Begich

Tom Begich

$284 Vol.

No

icon for Matt Claman

Matt Claman

$95 Vol.

No

icon for Bruce Walden

Bruce Walden

$125 Vol.

No

icon for Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

$704 Vol.

Yes

icon for Lesil McGuire

Lesil McGuire

$73 Vol.

No

icon for Gregg Brelsford

Gregg Brelsford

$150 Vol.

No

icon for Jessica Faircloth

Jessica Faircloth

$90 Vol.

No

icon for Destry J. Payne Sr.

Destry J. Payne Sr.

$127 Vol.

No

icon for Bill Walker

Bill Walker

$40 Vol.

No

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections. Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins secured first place in Alaska’s August 18, 2026, open primary for governor by capturing 22.5% of the vote, narrowly ahead of Democratic rival Tom Begich at 20.8%, with Republicans Bernadette Wilson and Dave Bronson finishing third and fourth. This outcome reflected Kreiss-Tomkins’ stronger performance across Southeast Alaska and rural areas, combined with effective fundraising and a bipartisan legislative record as a former state representative. Begich’s subsequent withdrawal and endorsement on August 29 further consolidated Democratic support behind Kreiss-Tomkins ahead of the ranked-choice general election. Trader consensus at 99% for Kreiss-Tomkins as primary leader stems from these certified vote tallies and the absence of viable pathways for other candidates. Late shifts remain possible only through final certification of outstanding mail ballots or successful legal challenges to results, both of which carry low probability given the margin and established counting procedures.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
Volume
$2,834
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 14, 2026, 6:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.

Na-propose ang outcome: No

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: No

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections. Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins secured first place in Alaska’s August 18, 2026, open primary for governor by capturing 22.5% of the vote, narrowly ahead of Democratic rival Tom Begich at 20.8%, with Republicans Bernadette Wilson and Dave Bronson finishing third and fourth. This outcome reflected Kreiss-Tomkins’ stronger performance across Southeast Alaska and rural areas, combined with effective fundraising and a bipartisan legislative record as a former state representative. Begich’s subsequent withdrawal and endorsement on August 29 further consolidated Democratic support behind Kreiss-Tomkins ahead of the ranked-choice general election. Trader consensus at 99% for Kreiss-Tomkins as primary leader stems from these certified vote tallies and the absence of viable pathways for other candidates. Late shifts remain possible only through final certification of outstanding mail ballots or successful legal challenges to results, both of which carry low probability given the margin and established counting procedures.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
Volume
$2,834
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 14, 2026, 6:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.

Na-propose ang outcome: No

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: No

Kaugnay

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Will Lesil McGuire advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?

21%
icon for Will Matt Schultz advance from the AK-AL primary election?

Will Matt Schultz advance from the AK-AL primary election?

10%
icon for Mananalo ba si Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins sa 2026 halalan para gobernador ng Alaska?

Mananalo ba si Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins sa 2026 halalan para gobernador ng Alaska?

55%
Oo

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Who will place first in the Alaska Governor primary?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 20 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins" sa 100%, sinusundan ng "Click Bishop" sa 0%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 100¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Who will place first in the Alaska Governor primary?" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Aug 14, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Who will place first in the Alaska Governor primary?," i-browse ang 20 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Who will place first in the Alaska Governor primary?" ay "Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins" sa 100%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Click Bishop" sa 0%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Who will place first in the Alaska Governor primary?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.