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icon for Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
Politika·SBF

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

icon for Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
Politika·SBF

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

$463,045 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$463,045 Vol.

Polymarket

Roger Stone

$8,405 Vol.

22%

Stefan Brodie

$2,809 Vol.

20%

Keonne Rodriguez

$17,544 Vol.

15%

Matt Gaetz

$6,294 Vol.

13%

Ryan Salame

$31,835 Vol.

12%

Donald Brodie

$4,238 Vol.

12%

Roger Ver

$2,182 Vol.

11%

Daniel Penny

$508 Vol.

11%

Steve Bannon

$8,049 Vol.

9%

Eric Adams

$1,101 Vol.

9%

Joe Exotic

$5,369 Vol.

9%

Young Thug

$4,717 Vol.

7%

Ghislaine Maxwell

$25,158 Vol.

6%

Julian Assange

$4,218 Vol.

6%

Bob Menendez

$295 Vol.

6%

Martin Shkreli

$30,439 Vol.

5%

Elizabeth Holmes

$3,613 Vol.

5%

Andrew Tate

$1,425 Vol.

5%

Nicolas Maduro

$10,351 Vol.

5%

Diddy

$30,270 Vol.

4%

Edward Snowden

$3,183 Vol.

4%

Sam Bankman-Fried

$136,103 Vol.

4%

Derek Chauvin

$26,611 Vol.

4%

Antoine Massey

$2,480 Vol.

3%

Do Kwon

$23,621 Vol.

3%

Himself

$13,660 Vol.

3%

Elon Musk

$52,917 Vol.

2%

Hunter Biden

$5,651 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump has continued issuing federal pardons and commutations at a steady pace during his second term, with batches in early September 2026 covering drug offenses, firearms violations, fraud, and other cases, including a Virginia Navy veteran and a Philadelphia union leader. His public comments on September 9 signaled openness to considering Michael Cohen, reflecting a pattern of weighing personal or political reconciliations alongside advocacy from allies and influencers. Broader clemency activity has emphasized individuals viewed as targeted by prior administrations, while public rejections of high-profile requests like Sam Bankman-Fried underscore selective criteria. With the 2026 midterms approaching and the resolution window closing at year-end, trader focus centers on Trump’s discretionary authority, recent grant volume, and any new statements or filings that could expand the recipient pool before 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$463,045
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump has continued issuing federal pardons and commutations at a steady pace during his second term, with batches in early September 2026 covering drug offenses, firearms violations, fraud, and other cases, including a Virginia Navy veteran and a Philadelphia union leader. His public comments on September 9 signaled openness to considering Michael Cohen, reflecting a pattern of weighing personal or political reconciliations alongside advocacy from allies and influencers. Broader clemency activity has emphasized individuals viewed as targeted by prior administrations, while public rejections of high-profile requests like Sam Bankman-Fried underscore selective criteria. With the 2026 midterms approaching and the resolution window closing at year-end, trader focus centers on Trump’s discretionary authority, recent grant volume, and any new statements or filings that could expand the recipient pool before 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$463,045
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Kaugnay

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Who will Trump pardon before 2027?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 28 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Roger Stone" sa 22%, sinusundan ng "Stefan Brodie" sa 20%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 22¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 22% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Who will Trump pardon before 2027?" ay naka-generate ng $463K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Nov 18, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Who will Trump pardon before 2027?," i-browse ang 28 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Who will Trump pardon before 2027?" ay "Roger Stone" sa 22%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 22% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Stefan Brodie" sa 20%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Who will Trump pardon before 2027?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.