Presidential clemency authority allows the executive to grant pardons or commutations for federal offenses at any point before the end of the term. Market positioning reflects trader assessments of likely recipients among political allies, January 6 defendants, or others facing federal charges, based on prior term patterns and public statements. Key variables include ongoing investigations, legislative priorities, and any announced policy focus on specific cases. Developments such as court rulings, plea deals, or direct administration signals on clemency could alter implied probabilities ahead of 2027. Resolution hinges on verified official actions rather than speculation.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$382,202 Vol.
Donald Brodie
44%
Stefan Brodie
31%
Daniel Penny
29%
Ryan Salame
23%
Matt Gaetz
23%
Keonne Rodriguez
16%
Roger Stone
16%
Steve Bannon
13%
Eric Adams
12%
Martin Shkreli
11%
Antoine Massey
10%
Joe Exotic
10%
Elizabeth Holmes
9%
Roger Ver
8%
Ghislaine Maxwell
7%
Julian Assange
7%
Himself
6%
Bob Menendez
5%
Sam Bankman-Fried
5%
Derek Chauvin
5%
Andrew Tate
5%
Nicolas Maduro
4%
Diddy
3%
Elon Musk
3%
Young Thug
3%
Do Kwon
3%
Edward Snowden
2%
Hunter Biden
2%
$382,202 Vol.
Donald Brodie
44%
Stefan Brodie
31%
Daniel Penny
29%
Ryan Salame
23%
Matt Gaetz
23%
Keonne Rodriguez
16%
Roger Stone
16%
Steve Bannon
13%
Eric Adams
12%
Martin Shkreli
11%
Antoine Massey
10%
Joe Exotic
10%
Elizabeth Holmes
9%
Roger Ver
8%
Ghislaine Maxwell
7%
Julian Assange
7%
Himself
6%
Bob Menendez
5%
Sam Bankman-Fried
5%
Derek Chauvin
5%
Andrew Tate
5%
Nicolas Maduro
4%
Diddy
3%
Elon Musk
3%
Young Thug
3%
Do Kwon
3%
Edward Snowden
2%
Hunter Biden
2%
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Presidential clemency authority allows the executive to grant pardons or commutations for federal offenses at any point before the end of the term. Market positioning reflects trader assessments of likely recipients among political allies, January 6 defendants, or others facing federal charges, based on prior term patterns and public statements. Key variables include ongoing investigations, legislative priorities, and any announced policy focus on specific cases. Developments such as court rulings, plea deals, or direct administration signals on clemency could alter implied probabilities ahead of 2027. Resolution hinges on verified official actions rather than speculation.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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