In the open Alaska gubernatorial race—triggered by term-limited Republican Gov. Mike Dunleavy—trader consensus slightly favors Republican Bernadette Wilson at 30.5% over Democrat Tom Begich at 25.5% to win via ranked-choice voting after the August 18 top-four primary, reflecting her strong early GOP fundraising and endorsements like U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds amid a fragmented field of over a dozen Republicans. A March Alaska Survey Research poll of likely voters showed Begich leading the primary at 19% to Wilson's 14%, with 47% undecided and Anchorage Mayor Dave Bronson and Sen. Matt Claman close behind, underscoring high uncertainty in the nonpartisan blanket primary. The tight odds persist due to vote-splitting among conservatives and RCV's potential for crossover appeal; separation could come from June 1 filing deadlines, fresh polls, or Mat-Su forums like April's high-stakes event boosting frontrunners.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiAlaska Valisi Seçimlerinin Kazananı
Alaska Valisi Seçimlerinin Kazananı
Bernadette Wilson 31%
Tom Begich 26%
Treg Taylor 14.5%
Nancy Dahlstrom 11.0%
$821,752 Hac.
$821,752 Hac.
Bernadette Wilson
31%
Tom Begich
26%
Treg Taylor
14%
Nancy Dahlstrom
11%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
4%
David Bronson
3%
Click Bishop
2%
Matt Claman
1%
Adam Crum
<1%
Lisa Murkowski
<1%
Mary Peltola
<1%
Matt Heilala
<1%
Edna DeVries
<1%
Shelley Hughes
<1%
Hank Kroll
<1%
James Parkin
<1%
Bruce Walden
<1%
Bernadette Wilson 31%
Tom Begich 26%
Treg Taylor 14.5%
Nancy Dahlstrom 11.0%
$821,752 Hac.
$821,752 Hac.
Bernadette Wilson
31%
Tom Begich
26%
Treg Taylor
14%
Nancy Dahlstrom
11%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
4%
David Bronson
3%
Click Bishop
2%
Matt Claman
1%
Adam Crum
<1%
Lisa Murkowski
<1%
Mary Peltola
<1%
Matt Heilala
<1%
Edna DeVries
<1%
Shelley Hughes
<1%
Hank Kroll
<1%
James Parkin
<1%
Bruce Walden
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Piyasa Açıldı: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the open Alaska gubernatorial race—triggered by term-limited Republican Gov. Mike Dunleavy—trader consensus slightly favors Republican Bernadette Wilson at 30.5% over Democrat Tom Begich at 25.5% to win via ranked-choice voting after the August 18 top-four primary, reflecting her strong early GOP fundraising and endorsements like U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds amid a fragmented field of over a dozen Republicans. A March Alaska Survey Research poll of likely voters showed Begich leading the primary at 19% to Wilson's 14%, with 47% undecided and Anchorage Mayor Dave Bronson and Sen. Matt Claman close behind, underscoring high uncertainty in the nonpartisan blanket primary. The tight odds persist due to vote-splitting among conservatives and RCV's potential for crossover appeal; separation could come from June 1 filing deadlines, fresh polls, or Mat-Su forums like April's high-stakes event boosting frontrunners.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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