Incumbent Sen. Tina Smith's retirement created an open Minnesota Senate seat, yet trader consensus heavily favors Democrats at 93.5% implied probability, driven by strong recruits Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan and Rep. Angie Craig leading fragmented GOP primary fields in recent polls like Emerson (Craig 47%-40% over Michele Tafoya) and superior fundraising (Craig $3.8M cash on hand). Minnesota Democrats hold all statewide offices since 2006, with forecasters rating the race Lean or Likely Democratic amid a left-leaning electorate. GOP hurdles include Royce White's prior weak performance and multiple lesser-known challengers. Upsets could stem from a consolidated Republican nominee, bruising Democratic primary, or national midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party ahead of August primaries and November general election.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiMinnesota Senate Election Winner
Minnesota Senate Election Winner
$20,393 Hac.
$20,393 Hac.
3 Kas 2026
Democrat
94%
Republican
6%
$20,393 Hac.
$20,393 Hac.
3 Kas 2026
Democrat
$14,700 Hac.
94%
Republican
$5,693 Hac.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. Tina Smith's retirement created an open Minnesota Senate seat, yet trader consensus heavily favors Democrats at 93.5% implied probability, driven by strong recruits Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan and Rep. Angie Craig leading fragmented GOP primary fields in recent polls like Emerson (Craig 47%-40% over Michele Tafoya) and superior fundraising (Craig $3.8M cash on hand). Minnesota Democrats hold all statewide offices since 2006, with forecasters rating the race Lean or Likely Democratic amid a left-leaning electorate. GOP hurdles include Royce White's prior weak performance and multiple lesser-known challengers. Upsets could stem from a consolidated Republican nominee, bruising Democratic primary, or national midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party ahead of August primaries and November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Piyasa Açıldı: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Hacim
$20,393Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. Tina Smith's retirement created an open Minnesota Senate seat, yet trader consensus heavily favors Democrats at 93.5% implied probability, driven by strong recruits Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan and Rep. Angie Craig leading fragmented GOP primary fields in recent polls like Emerson (Craig 47%-40% over Michele Tafoya) and superior fundraising (Craig $3.8M cash on hand). Minnesota Democrats hold all statewide offices since 2006, with forecasters rating the race Lean or Likely Democratic amid a left-leaning electorate. GOP hurdles include Royce White's prior weak performance and multiple lesser-known challengers. Upsets could stem from a consolidated Republican nominee, bruising Democratic primary, or national midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party ahead of August primaries and November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Hacim
$20,393Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sen. Tina Smith's retirement created an open Minnesota Senate seat, yet trader consensus heavily favors Democrats at 93.5% implied probability, driven by strong recruits Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan and Rep. Angie Craig leading fragmented GOP primary fields in recent polls like Emerson (Craig 47%-40% over Michele Tafoya) and superior fundraising (Craig $3.8M cash on hand). Minnesota Democrats hold all statewide offices since 2006, with forecasters rating the race Lean or Likely Democratic amid a left-leaning electorate. GOP hurdles include Royce White's prior weak performance and multiple lesser-known challengers. Upsets could stem from a consolidated Republican nominee, bruising Democratic primary, or national midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party ahead of August primaries and November general election.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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