**Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% in California's 36th Congressional District House race, reflecting the district's entrenched Democratic stronghold in the Los Angeles South Bay area, with a Cook Political Report rating of Solid Democratic.** Incumbent Rep. Ted Lieu, seeking re-election after commanding victories in 2022 and 2024—including a wide margin over Republican Melissa Toomim last cycle—benefits from strong incumbency advantages and district demographics featuring high education levels, diverse urban voters, and a partisan lean estimated at D+37. No formidable Republican challengers have emerged ahead of the March filing deadline, and the June 2 top-two primary is unlikely to produce a competitive general election matchup under California's system. While a national Republican wave, Lieu scandal, or unusually strong GOP nominee could narrow odds, such shifts remain improbable given historical precedents in safe seats. The market resolves post-November 3 general election based on certified results.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiCA-36 House Election Winner
CA-36 House Election Winner
YENİ
YENİ
3 Kas 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
YENİ
YENİ
3 Kas 2026
Democratic Party
$2,379 Hac.
94%
Republican Party
$1,293 Hac.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% in California's 36th Congressional District House race, reflecting the district's entrenched Democratic stronghold in the Los Angeles South Bay area, with a Cook Political Report rating of Solid Democratic.** Incumbent Rep. Ted Lieu, seeking re-election after commanding victories in 2022 and 2024—including a wide margin over Republican Melissa Toomim last cycle—benefits from strong incumbency advantages and district demographics featuring high education levels, diverse urban voters, and a partisan lean estimated at D+37. No formidable Republican challengers have emerged ahead of the March filing deadline, and the June 2 top-two primary is unlikely to produce a competitive general election matchup under California's system. While a national Republican wave, Lieu scandal, or unusually strong GOP nominee could narrow odds, such shifts remain improbable given historical precedents in safe seats. The market resolves post-November 3 general election based on certified results.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Hacim
$3,672Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% in California's 36th Congressional District House race, reflecting the district's entrenched Democratic stronghold in the Los Angeles South Bay area, with a Cook Political Report rating of Solid Democratic.** Incumbent Rep. Ted Lieu, seeking re-election after commanding victories in 2022 and 2024—including a wide margin over Republican Melissa Toomim last cycle—benefits from strong incumbency advantages and district demographics featuring high education levels, diverse urban voters, and a partisan lean estimated at D+37. No formidable Republican challengers have emerged ahead of the March filing deadline, and the June 2 top-two primary is unlikely to produce a competitive general election matchup under California's system. While a national Republican wave, Lieu scandal, or unusually strong GOP nominee could narrow odds, such shifts remain improbable given historical precedents in safe seats. The market resolves post-November 3 general election based on certified results.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Hacim
$3,672Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% in California's 36th Congressional District House race, reflecting the district's entrenched Democratic stronghold in the Los Angeles South Bay area, with a Cook Political Report rating of Solid Democratic.** Incumbent Rep. Ted Lieu, seeking re-election after commanding victories in 2022 and 2024—including a wide margin over Republican Melissa Toomim last cycle—benefits from strong incumbency advantages and district demographics featuring high education levels, diverse urban voters, and a partisan lean estimated at D+37. No formidable Republican challengers have emerged ahead of the March filing deadline, and the June 2 top-two primary is unlikely to produce a competitive general election matchup under California's system. While a national Republican wave, Lieu scandal, or unusually strong GOP nominee could narrow odds, such shifts remain improbable given historical precedents in safe seats. The market resolves post-November 3 general election based on certified results.
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