In Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial race, with incumbent Mike Dunleavy term-limited, trader consensus slightly favors Republican Bernadette Wilson at 30.5% over Democrat Tom Begich at 26% to win the November ranked-choice general election, despite a late-March Alaska Survey Research poll showing Begich leading the August 18 top-four primary at 19% to Wilson's 14% amid a fragmented Republican field. Strong early fundraising for both—Wilson and Begich each raising over $300,000—plus Wilson's dominant Kenai Republican straw poll and recent Mat-Su resource development forum keep the contest tight, with vote-splitting risks in the nonpartisan primary and RCV consolidation potential favoring GOP unity in this Republican-leaning state. Upcoming debates, endorsements, and fiscal policy clashes could widen leads before the primary advances the top four.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiAlaska Valisi Seçimlerinin Kazananı
Alaska Valisi Seçimlerinin Kazananı
Bernadette Wilson 31%
Tom Begich 26%
Treg Taylor 13.8%
Nancy Dahlstrom 12.3%
$824,028 Hac.
$824,028 Hac.
Bernadette Wilson
31%
Tom Begich
26%
Treg Taylor
14%
Nancy Dahlstrom
12%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
4%
David Bronson
3%
Click Bishop
2%
Matt Claman
1%
Adam Crum
1%
Lisa Murkowski
<1%
Mary Peltola
<1%
Edna DeVries
<1%
Shelley Hughes
<1%
Hank Kroll
<1%
Matt Heilala
<1%
James Parkin
<1%
Bruce Walden
<1%
Bernadette Wilson 31%
Tom Begich 26%
Treg Taylor 13.8%
Nancy Dahlstrom 12.3%
$824,028 Hac.
$824,028 Hac.
Bernadette Wilson
31%
Tom Begich
26%
Treg Taylor
14%
Nancy Dahlstrom
12%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
4%
David Bronson
3%
Click Bishop
2%
Matt Claman
1%
Adam Crum
1%
Lisa Murkowski
<1%
Mary Peltola
<1%
Edna DeVries
<1%
Shelley Hughes
<1%
Hank Kroll
<1%
Matt Heilala
<1%
James Parkin
<1%
Bruce Walden
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Piyasa Açıldı: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial race, with incumbent Mike Dunleavy term-limited, trader consensus slightly favors Republican Bernadette Wilson at 30.5% over Democrat Tom Begich at 26% to win the November ranked-choice general election, despite a late-March Alaska Survey Research poll showing Begich leading the August 18 top-four primary at 19% to Wilson's 14% amid a fragmented Republican field. Strong early fundraising for both—Wilson and Begich each raising over $300,000—plus Wilson's dominant Kenai Republican straw poll and recent Mat-Su resource development forum keep the contest tight, with vote-splitting risks in the nonpartisan primary and RCV consolidation potential favoring GOP unity in this Republican-leaning state. Upcoming debates, endorsements, and fiscal policy clashes could widen leads before the primary advances the top four.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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