California's 38th Congressional District, with a D+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index, remains a Solid Democratic seat per forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, driving trader consensus to price Democrats at 93% to retain it in the November 3 general election. The open race—stemming from mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50, which prompted incumbent Linda Sánchez to seek reelection in neighboring CA-41—features Democrat Hilda Solis as frontrunner with state party endorsement and $398,000 cash on hand, alongside fellow Democrats Monica Sánchez and Erik Lutz against underfunded Republican Pedro Casas. In the June 2 top-two primary, two Democrats are poised to advance, virtually ensuring a Democratic hold barring a GOP primary upset, national Republican midterm wave, nominee scandal, or unforeseen voter shifts.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiCA -38 Ev Seçimi Kazananı
CA -38 Ev Seçimi Kazananı
$49,533 Hac.
$49,533 Hac.
3 Kas 2026
Demokrat Parti
93%
Cumhuriyetçi Parti
7%
$49,533 Hac.
$49,533 Hac.
3 Kas 2026
Demokrat Parti
$23,707 Hac.
93%
Cumhuriyetçi Parti
$25,827 Hac.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 38th Congressional District, with a D+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index, remains a Solid Democratic seat per forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, driving trader consensus to price Democrats at 93% to retain it in the November 3 general election. The open race—stemming from mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50, which prompted incumbent Linda Sánchez to seek reelection in neighboring CA-41—features Democrat Hilda Solis as frontrunner with state party endorsement and $398,000 cash on hand, alongside fellow Democrats Monica Sánchez and Erik Lutz against underfunded Republican Pedro Casas. In the June 2 top-two primary, two Democrats are poised to advance, virtually ensuring a Democratic hold barring a GOP primary upset, national Republican midterm wave, nominee scandal, or unforeseen voter shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Hacim
$49,533Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 38th Congressional District, with a D+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index, remains a Solid Democratic seat per forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, driving trader consensus to price Democrats at 93% to retain it in the November 3 general election. The open race—stemming from mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50, which prompted incumbent Linda Sánchez to seek reelection in neighboring CA-41—features Democrat Hilda Solis as frontrunner with state party endorsement and $398,000 cash on hand, alongside fellow Democrats Monica Sánchez and Erik Lutz against underfunded Republican Pedro Casas. In the June 2 top-two primary, two Democrats are poised to advance, virtually ensuring a Democratic hold barring a GOP primary upset, national Republican midterm wave, nominee scandal, or unforeseen voter shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Hacim
$49,533Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 38th Congressional District, with a D+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index, remains a Solid Democratic seat per forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, driving trader consensus to price Democrats at 93% to retain it in the November 3 general election. The open race—stemming from mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50, which prompted incumbent Linda Sánchez to seek reelection in neighboring CA-41—features Democrat Hilda Solis as frontrunner with state party endorsement and $398,000 cash on hand, alongside fellow Democrats Monica Sánchez and Erik Lutz against underfunded Republican Pedro Casas. In the June 2 top-two primary, two Democrats are poised to advance, virtually ensuring a Democratic hold barring a GOP primary upset, national Republican midterm wave, nominee scandal, or unforeseen voter shifts.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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