Trader consensus favors a highest temperature of 12°C at 35.5% implied probability for Moscow on April 17, reflecting the latest ensemble forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and Rosgidromet projecting daytime highs in the 11–14°C range under persistent mild high-pressure influence. Recent developments include temperatures running 1.5–2.5°C above mid-April climatological norms (average highs ~11.3°C per historical data from the Hydrometcenter), following a spring thunderstorm on April 13 that cleared skies for continued warming. Favorable steering patterns limit cold air intrusions, though cloud cover or afternoon showers could cap peaks at 11–13°C. Official observations from Vnukovo International Airport station will resolve the market; monitor hourly updates from Russian weather services for late shifts.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiHighest temperature in Moscow on April 17?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 17?
12°C 37%
13°C 28%
11°C 16%
14°C 13%
$14,001 Hac.
$14,001 Hac.
7°C or below
1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
2%
10°C
7%
11°C
16%
12°C
37%
13°C
24%
14°C
13%
15°C
3%
16°C
3%
17°C or higher
1%
12°C 37%
13°C 28%
11°C 16%
14°C 13%
$14,001 Hac.
$14,001 Hac.
7°C or below
1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
2%
10°C
7%
11°C
16%
12°C
37%
13°C
24%
14°C
13%
15°C
3%
16°C
3%
17°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors a highest temperature of 12°C at 35.5% implied probability for Moscow on April 17, reflecting the latest ensemble forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and Rosgidromet projecting daytime highs in the 11–14°C range under persistent mild high-pressure influence. Recent developments include temperatures running 1.5–2.5°C above mid-April climatological norms (average highs ~11.3°C per historical data from the Hydrometcenter), following a spring thunderstorm on April 13 that cleared skies for continued warming. Favorable steering patterns limit cold air intrusions, though cloud cover or afternoon showers could cap peaks at 11–13°C. Official observations from Vnukovo International Airport station will resolve the market; monitor hourly updates from Russian weather services for late shifts.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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