Trader consensus prices a tight contest between 20°C (31%) and 21°C (29.5%) for Shanghai's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting ensemble forecast spread from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models converging near 20-21°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds. Recent CMA guidance notes potential for 23°C if clouds thin during peak diurnal heating, but persistent overcast from a lingering frontal system caps upside, differentiating lower outcomes like 19°C (18%). Historical mid-April highs average 19°C at official Shanghai stations, with current post-frontal stability and modest warm advection supporting the leaders; watch evening CMA updates and tomorrow's hourly observations for resolution shifts amid typical spring variability.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi17 Nisan'da Şangay'daki en yüksek sıcaklık?
17 Nisan'da Şangay'daki en yüksek sıcaklık?
20°C 32%
21°C 32%
19°C 14%
22°C 11.4%
$20,407 Hac.
$20,407 Hac.
13°C veya altı
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
3%
18°C
4%
19°C
14%
20°C
32%
21°C
32%
22°C
11%
23°C veya daha yüksek
7%
20°C 32%
21°C 32%
19°C 14%
22°C 11.4%
$20,407 Hac.
$20,407 Hac.
13°C veya altı
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
3%
18°C
4%
19°C
14%
20°C
32%
21°C
32%
22°C
11%
23°C veya daha yüksek
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Çözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Çözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices a tight contest between 20°C (31%) and 21°C (29.5%) for Shanghai's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting ensemble forecast spread from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models converging near 20-21°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds. Recent CMA guidance notes potential for 23°C if clouds thin during peak diurnal heating, but persistent overcast from a lingering frontal system caps upside, differentiating lower outcomes like 19°C (18%). Historical mid-April highs average 19°C at official Shanghai stations, with current post-frontal stability and modest warm advection supporting the leaders; watch evening CMA updates and tomorrow's hourly observations for resolution shifts amid typical spring variability.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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