Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 17 near 20-21°C, with overcast skies and passing showers limiting solar heating, driving trader consensus toward these closely matched outcomes at 30.5% for 20°C, 23.5% for 21°C, and 20% for 19°C. Recent overnight model runs show stability after April 15's mild 22°C high and anticipated rainier April 16, aligning with mid-April climatological averages of 19.5°C amid spring frontal activity. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability and shower timing, which could suppress peaks below 20°C or allow slight warming; CMA advisories and real-time observations today may sharpen the outlook before official station resolution.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 17?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 17?
20°C 31%
21°C 22%
19°C 20%
22°C 10.8%
$12,404 Hac.
$12,404 Hac.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
7%
19°C
20%
20°C
31%
21°C
22%
22°C
11%
23°C or higher
5%
20°C 31%
21°C 22%
19°C 20%
22°C 10.8%
$12,404 Hac.
$12,404 Hac.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
7%
19°C
20%
20°C
31%
21°C
22%
22°C
11%
23°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Çözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Çözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 17 near 20-21°C, with overcast skies and passing showers limiting solar heating, driving trader consensus toward these closely matched outcomes at 30.5% for 20°C, 23.5% for 21°C, and 20% for 19°C. Recent overnight model runs show stability after April 15's mild 22°C high and anticipated rainier April 16, aligning with mid-April climatological averages of 19.5°C amid spring frontal activity. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability and shower timing, which could suppress peaks below 20°C or allow slight warming; CMA advisories and real-time observations today may sharpen the outlook before official station resolution.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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