Latest Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a high of 21°C in Tokyo on April 17 under cloudy skies with sunny intervals and 20% precipitation chance, yet market-implied odds favor 18°C (35.5%) over 19°C (29.0%), capturing ensemble model uncertainty from ECMWF and GFS runs that anticipate more persistent cloud cover and northerly winds capping peak heating. Differentiating factors include boundary layer mixing from gusts up to 20 km/h, urban heat island effects varying by station (e.g., Haneda vs. central Tokyo), and solar insolation during midday hours, with historical mid-April averages near 19°C providing context. JMA updates expected twice daily could shift trader sentiment ahead of resolution based on official observations.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi17 Nisan'da Tokyo'daki en yüksek sıcaklık?
17 Nisan'da Tokyo'daki en yüksek sıcaklık?
18°C 37%
19°C 22%
17°C 19%
20°C 9%
YENİ
$15,249 Hac.
YENİ
$15,249 Hac.
17 Nis 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
5%
17°C
19%
18°C
37%
19°C
22%
20°C
9%
21°C
3%
22°C or higher
2%
18°C 37%
19°C 22%
17°C 19%
20°C 9%
YENİ
$15,249 Hac.
YENİ
$15,249 Hac.
17 Nis 2026
12°C or below
$1,951 Hac.
<1%
13°C
$1,950 Hac.
<1%
14°C
$1,777 Hac.
<1%
15°C
$1,513 Hac.
2%
16°C
$1,269 Hac.
5%
17°C
$539 Hac.
19%
18°C
$781 Hac.
37%
19°C
$679 Hac.
22%
20°C
$1,559 Hac.
9%
21°C
$1,599 Hac.
3%
22°C or higher
$1,663 Hac.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a high of 21°C in Tokyo on April 17 under cloudy skies with sunny intervals and 20% precipitation chance, yet market-implied odds favor 18°C (35.5%) over 19°C (29.0%), capturing ensemble model uncertainty from ECMWF and GFS runs that anticipate more persistent cloud cover and northerly winds capping peak heating. Differentiating factors include boundary layer mixing from gusts up to 20 km/h, urban heat island effects varying by station (e.g., Haneda vs. central Tokyo), and solar insolation during midday hours, with historical mid-April averages near 19°C providing context. JMA updates expected twice daily could shift trader sentiment ahead of resolution based on official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Hacim
$15,249Bitiş Tarihi
17 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a high of 21°C in Tokyo on April 17 under cloudy skies with sunny intervals and 20% precipitation chance, yet market-implied odds favor 18°C (35.5%) over 19°C (29.0%), capturing ensemble model uncertainty from ECMWF and GFS runs that anticipate more persistent cloud cover and northerly winds capping peak heating. Differentiating factors include boundary layer mixing from gusts up to 20 km/h, urban heat island effects varying by station (e.g., Haneda vs. central Tokyo), and solar insolation during midday hours, with historical mid-April averages near 19°C providing context. JMA updates expected twice daily could shift trader sentiment ahead of resolution based on official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$15,249Bitiş Tarihi
17 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a high of 21°C in Tokyo on April 17 under cloudy skies with sunny intervals and 20% precipitation chance, yet market-implied odds favor 18°C (35.5%) over 19°C (29.0%), capturing ensemble model uncertainty from ECMWF and GFS runs that anticipate more persistent cloud cover and northerly winds capping peak heating. Differentiating factors include boundary layer mixing from gusts up to 20 km/h, urban heat island effects varying by station (e.g., Haneda vs. central Tokyo), and solar insolation during midday hours, with historical mid-April averages near 19°C providing context. JMA updates expected twice daily could shift trader sentiment ahead of resolution based on official observations.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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