Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts indicate a consensus daytime high near 15°C in Warsaw on April 17, with partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds fostering mild conditions amid a building high-pressure ridge over Central Europe—driving trader sentiment toward 15°C (31% implied probability), 16°C (26.5%), and 14°C (24%). This clustering reflects a 2-3°C model spread stemming from uncertainties in cloud cover timing and potential scattered showers, against a mid-April climatological average of 13-15°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport, where IMGW official observations will resolve the market. Recent April temperatures have trended slightly below normal (monthly mean 8.7°C vs. 9.2°C), but warming southerly flow tips odds higher; watch 00Z/12Z model updates for refinements.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiHighest temperature in Warsaw on April 17?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 17?
15°C 32%
16°C 30%
14°C 22%
17°C or higher 11%
YENİ
YENİ
17 Nis 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
4%
13°C
8%
14°C
22%
15°C
32%
16°C
30%
17°C or higher
11%
15°C 32%
16°C 30%
14°C 22%
17°C or higher 11%
YENİ
YENİ
17 Nis 2026
7°C or below
$844 Hac.
<1%
8°C
$1,338 Hac.
<1%
9°C
$1,612 Hac.
<1%
10°C
$719 Hac.
1%
11°C
$1,045 Hac.
1%
12°C
$502 Hac.
4%
13°C
$839 Hac.
8%
14°C
$430 Hac.
22%
15°C
$287 Hac.
32%
16°C
$513 Hac.
30%
17°C or higher
$572 Hac.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts indicate a consensus daytime high near 15°C in Warsaw on April 17, with partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds fostering mild conditions amid a building high-pressure ridge over Central Europe—driving trader sentiment toward 15°C (31% implied probability), 16°C (26.5%), and 14°C (24%). This clustering reflects a 2-3°C model spread stemming from uncertainties in cloud cover timing and potential scattered showers, against a mid-April climatological average of 13-15°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport, where IMGW official observations will resolve the market. Recent April temperatures have trended slightly below normal (monthly mean 8.7°C vs. 9.2°C), but warming southerly flow tips odds higher; watch 00Z/12Z model updates for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 15, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
Hacim
$8,696Bitiş Tarihi
17 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 15, 2026, 12:24 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts indicate a consensus daytime high near 15°C in Warsaw on April 17, with partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds fostering mild conditions amid a building high-pressure ridge over Central Europe—driving trader sentiment toward 15°C (31% implied probability), 16°C (26.5%), and 14°C (24%). This clustering reflects a 2-3°C model spread stemming from uncertainties in cloud cover timing and potential scattered showers, against a mid-April climatological average of 13-15°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport, where IMGW official observations will resolve the market. Recent April temperatures have trended slightly below normal (monthly mean 8.7°C vs. 9.2°C), but warming southerly flow tips odds higher; watch 00Z/12Z model updates for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$8,696Bitiş Tarihi
17 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 15, 2026, 12:24 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts indicate a consensus daytime high near 15°C in Warsaw on April 17, with partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds fostering mild conditions amid a building high-pressure ridge over Central Europe—driving trader sentiment toward 15°C (31% implied probability), 16°C (26.5%), and 14°C (24%). This clustering reflects a 2-3°C model spread stemming from uncertainties in cloud cover timing and potential scattered showers, against a mid-April climatological average of 13-15°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport, where IMGW official observations will resolve the market. Recent April temperatures have trended slightly below normal (monthly mean 8.7°C vs. 9.2°C), but warming southerly flow tips odds higher; watch 00Z/12Z model updates for refinements.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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