Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 16°C (57% implied probability) at Warsaw Chopin Airport, closely tracking the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) Hybrid 1.0 model's latest run projecting 15.8°C, with ECMWF and GFS ensembles showing tight clustering around 15-16°C amid a high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly airflow over central Europe. Midday observations reached 13.8°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, leaving ample room for peak afternoon heating typical in such synoptic setups. Slightly above the mid-April climatological average of 13-14°C, uncertainties stem from variable cloud cover and model spread on boundary layer mixing; final hourly data from IMGW stations will resolve the market by evening.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiVarşova'daki en yüksek sıcaklık 16 Nisan'da mı?
Varşova'daki en yüksek sıcaklık 16 Nisan'da mı?
16°C 60%
15°C 26%
17°C 14%
18°C 2.0%
YENİ
$42,521 Hac.
YENİ
$42,521 Hac.
16 Nis 2026
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
26%
16°C
60%
17°C
14%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C veya daha fazla
<1%
16°C 60%
15°C 26%
17°C 14%
18°C 2.0%
YENİ
$42,521 Hac.
YENİ
$42,521 Hac.
16 Nis 2026
13°C
$8,578 Hac.
<1%
14°C
$8,730 Hac.
<1%
15°C
$3,230 Hac.
26%
16°C
$2,974 Hac.
60%
17°C
$3,225 Hac.
14%
18°C
$2,345 Hac.
2%
19°C
$1,769 Hac.
1%
20°C veya daha fazla
$3,084 Hac.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 16°C (57% implied probability) at Warsaw Chopin Airport, closely tracking the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) Hybrid 1.0 model's latest run projecting 15.8°C, with ECMWF and GFS ensembles showing tight clustering around 15-16°C amid a high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly airflow over central Europe. Midday observations reached 13.8°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, leaving ample room for peak afternoon heating typical in such synoptic setups. Slightly above the mid-April climatological average of 13-14°C, uncertainties stem from variable cloud cover and model spread on boundary layer mixing; final hourly data from IMGW stations will resolve the market by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 14, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Hacim
$42,521Bitiş Tarihi
16 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 14, 2026, 6:14 PM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 16°C (57% implied probability) at Warsaw Chopin Airport, closely tracking the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) Hybrid 1.0 model's latest run projecting 15.8°C, with ECMWF and GFS ensembles showing tight clustering around 15-16°C amid a high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly airflow over central Europe. Midday observations reached 13.8°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, leaving ample room for peak afternoon heating typical in such synoptic setups. Slightly above the mid-April climatological average of 13-14°C, uncertainties stem from variable cloud cover and model spread on boundary layer mixing; final hourly data from IMGW stations will resolve the market by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$42,521Bitiş Tarihi
16 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 14, 2026, 6:14 PM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 16°C (57% implied probability) at Warsaw Chopin Airport, closely tracking the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) Hybrid 1.0 model's latest run projecting 15.8°C, with ECMWF and GFS ensembles showing tight clustering around 15-16°C amid a high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly airflow over central Europe. Midday observations reached 13.8°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, leaving ample room for peak afternoon heating typical in such synoptic setups. Slightly above the mid-April climatological average of 13-14°C, uncertainties stem from variable cloud cover and model spread on boundary layer mixing; final hourly data from IMGW stations will resolve the market by evening.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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