With over 90% of ballot boxes counted in Peru's April 12 first-round presidential election, Keiko Fujimori holds a firm lead in first place, thrusting Rafael López Aliaga and Roberto Sánchez Palomino into a nail-biter for second and advancement to the June 7 runoff. Traders price López Aliaga (Renovación Popular) at 58% implied probability for third place, buoyed by his early urban vote dominance, while Sánchez (Juntos por el Perú)—a congressman drawing leftist and rural support—sits at 39%, reflecting his late surge from southern and agrarian precincts per latest ONPE tallies. Remaining urban-rural counts and potential recounts by the National Jury of Elections could shift the razor-thin margin, underscoring the fragmented 35-candidate field's volatility amid voter fatigue from political instability.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiPeru Cumhurbaşkanlığı Seçimi Birinci Tur: 3. Sıra
Peru Cumhurbaşkanlığı Seçimi Birinci Tur: 3. Sıra
Rafael López Aliaga 56.5%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 40.5%
Jorge Nieto <1%
Ricardo Belmont <1%
$557,999 Hac.
$557,999 Hac.
Rafael López Aliaga
57%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
41%
Jorge Nieto
<1%
Ricardo Belmont
<1%
Keiko Fujimori
<1%
José Luna
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
Fernando Olivera
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
<1%
George Forsyth
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
<1%
Mesías Guevara
<1%
César Acuña
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
<1%
Carlos Espá
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%
Mario Vizcarra
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
<1%
José Williams
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%
Rafael López Aliaga 56.5%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 40.5%
Jorge Nieto <1%
Ricardo Belmont <1%
$557,999 Hac.
$557,999 Hac.
Rafael López Aliaga
57%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
41%
Jorge Nieto
<1%
Ricardo Belmont
<1%
Keiko Fujimori
<1%
José Luna
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
Fernando Olivera
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
<1%
George Forsyth
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
<1%
Mesías Guevara
<1%
César Acuña
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
<1%
Carlos Espá
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%
Mario Vizcarra
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
<1%
José Williams
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 20, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...With over 90% of ballot boxes counted in Peru's April 12 first-round presidential election, Keiko Fujimori holds a firm lead in first place, thrusting Rafael López Aliaga and Roberto Sánchez Palomino into a nail-biter for second and advancement to the June 7 runoff. Traders price López Aliaga (Renovación Popular) at 58% implied probability for third place, buoyed by his early urban vote dominance, while Sánchez (Juntos por el Perú)—a congressman drawing leftist and rural support—sits at 39%, reflecting his late surge from southern and agrarian precincts per latest ONPE tallies. Remaining urban-rural counts and potential recounts by the National Jury of Elections could shift the razor-thin margin, underscoring the fragmented 35-candidate field's volatility amid voter fatigue from political instability.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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