Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Rafael López Aliaga as the strong favorite at 58.9% to finish third in Peru's April 12-13 presidential election first round, with Roberto Sánchez Palomino at 37.1%, reflecting the razor-thin battle for second behind leader Keiko Fujimori amid ongoing vote tabulation reaching over 89% as of April 15. Logistical delays from ballot delivery issues extended voting into Monday and slowed counting, particularly in rural areas strong for leftist Sánchez (Juntos por el Perú), while right-wing López Aliaga's urban support in Lima is largely reported. Pre-election polls from Ipsos and Datum showed a fragmented field of 35 candidates, with López Aliaga consistently polling in the top tier around 10-15%, but exit polls and early ONPE flashes initially favored him before Sánchez narrowed the gap. A potential June 7 runoff looms between the top two, heightening scrutiny on this decisive second-third matchup.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiPeru Cumhurbaşkanlığı Seçimi Birinci Tur: 3. Sıra
Peru Cumhurbaşkanlığı Seçimi Birinci Tur: 3. Sıra
Rafael López Aliaga 58.1%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 37.7%
Jorge Nieto <1%
Ricardo Belmont <1%
$554,676 Hac.
$554,676 Hac.
Rafael López Aliaga
58%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
38%
Jorge Nieto
<1%
Ricardo Belmont
<1%
Keiko Fujimori
<1%
José Luna
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
Fernando Olivera
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
<1%
George Forsyth
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
<1%
Mesías Guevara
<1%
César Acuña
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
<1%
Carlos Espá
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%
Mario Vizcarra
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
<1%
José Williams
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%
Rafael López Aliaga 58.1%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 37.7%
Jorge Nieto <1%
Ricardo Belmont <1%
$554,676 Hac.
$554,676 Hac.
Rafael López Aliaga
58%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
38%
Jorge Nieto
<1%
Ricardo Belmont
<1%
Keiko Fujimori
<1%
José Luna
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
Fernando Olivera
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
<1%
George Forsyth
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
<1%
Mesías Guevara
<1%
César Acuña
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
<1%
Carlos Espá
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%
Mario Vizcarra
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
<1%
José Williams
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 20, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Rafael López Aliaga as the strong favorite at 58.9% to finish third in Peru's April 12-13 presidential election first round, with Roberto Sánchez Palomino at 37.1%, reflecting the razor-thin battle for second behind leader Keiko Fujimori amid ongoing vote tabulation reaching over 89% as of April 15. Logistical delays from ballot delivery issues extended voting into Monday and slowed counting, particularly in rural areas strong for leftist Sánchez (Juntos por el Perú), while right-wing López Aliaga's urban support in Lima is largely reported. Pre-election polls from Ipsos and Datum showed a fragmented field of 35 candidates, with López Aliaga consistently polling in the top tier around 10-15%, but exit polls and early ONPE flashes initially favored him before Sánchez narrowed the gap. A potential June 7 runoff looms between the top two, heightening scrutiny on this decisive second-third matchup.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular