National Weather Service observations at Central Park show just 0.35 inches of precipitation through April 14, 2026—81% below the climatological normal of 1.89 inches for that period—anchoring trader consensus on under 2 inches total (59%) as the leading outcome. This stark deficit stems from persistent high-pressure ridging suppressing storm systems, consistent with ENSO-neutral conditions favoring variable spring patterns. Historical April averages hover around 4 inches, but dynamical model ensembles from NOAA indicate subdued moisture inflow and few heavy rain events in the final two weeks, though uncertainty persists in ensemble spreads for isolated showers. Upcoming NWS forecast updates will refine probabilities ahead of month-end resolution.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiPrecipitation in NYC in April?
Precipitation in NYC in April?
<2" 60.2%
2-3" 22%
4-5" 5.8%
>6" 5.8%
$46,482 Hac.
$46,482 Hac.
<2"
60%
2-3"
22%
3-4"
3%
4-5"
6%
5-6"
2%
>6"
6%
<2" 60.2%
2-3" 22%
4-5" 5.8%
>6" 5.8%
$46,482 Hac.
$46,482 Hac.
<2"
60%
2-3"
22%
3-4"
3%
4-5"
6%
5-6"
2%
>6"
6%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 24, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service observations at Central Park show just 0.35 inches of precipitation through April 14, 2026—81% below the climatological normal of 1.89 inches for that period—anchoring trader consensus on under 2 inches total (59%) as the leading outcome. This stark deficit stems from persistent high-pressure ridging suppressing storm systems, consistent with ENSO-neutral conditions favoring variable spring patterns. Historical April averages hover around 4 inches, but dynamical model ensembles from NOAA indicate subdued moisture inflow and few heavy rain events in the final two weeks, though uncertainty persists in ensemble spreads for isolated showers. Upcoming NWS forecast updates will refine probabilities ahead of month-end resolution.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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