Trader consensus prices "No" at 70.5% for a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by end-2026, reflecting stalled diplomacy amid ongoing military actions and incompatible demands over territory and security guarantees. The recent 32-hour Orthodox Easter truce from April 11-12 collapsed amid mutual accusations of over 2,000 violations, including assaults and strikes, failing to build momentum for broader peace talks. US-mediated trilateral discussions in Geneva signaled limited progress but hit impasse on eastern territorial claims, with Zelenskyy aides noting difficult negotiations unresolved after 12 years of tensions. Russian missile and drone strikes continued as late as April 15, underscoring de-escalation barriers, while distractions like the Iran ceasefire have sidelined Ukraine focus without advancing a comprehensive deal.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiEvet
$14,068,338 Hac.
$14,068,338 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
%4 Kazan
Evet
$14,068,338 Hac.
$14,068,338 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
%4 Kazan
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires that constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires that only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.Trader consensus prices "No" at 70.5% for a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by end-2026, reflecting stalled diplomacy amid ongoing military actions and incompatible demands over territory and security guarantees. The recent 32-hour Orthodox Easter truce from April 11-12 collapsed amid mutual accusations of over 2,000 violations, including assaults and strikes, failing to build momentum for broader peace talks. US-mediated trilateral discussions in Geneva signaled limited progress but hit impasse on eastern territorial claims, with Zelenskyy aides noting difficult negotiations unresolved after 12 years of tensions. Russian missile and drone strikes continued as late as April 15, underscoring de-escalation barriers, while distractions like the Iran ceasefire have sidelined Ukraine focus without advancing a comprehensive deal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires that constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires that only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires that constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires that only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
Piyasa Açıldı: Jul 24, 2025, 7:37 PM ET
Hacim
$14,068,338Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jul 24, 2025, 7:37 PM ETÇözümleyici
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires that constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires that only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.Trader consensus prices "No" at 70.5% for a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by end-2026, reflecting stalled diplomacy amid ongoing military actions and incompatible demands over territory and security guarantees. The recent 32-hour Orthodox Easter truce from April 11-12 collapsed amid mutual accusations of over 2,000 violations, including assaults and strikes, failing to build momentum for broader peace talks. US-mediated trilateral discussions in Geneva signaled limited progress but hit impasse on eastern territorial claims, with Zelenskyy aides noting difficult negotiations unresolved after 12 years of tensions. Russian missile and drone strikes continued as late as April 15, underscoring de-escalation barriers, while distractions like the Iran ceasefire have sidelined Ukraine focus without advancing a comprehensive deal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires that constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires that only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires that constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires that only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
Hacim
$14,068,338Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jul 24, 2025, 7:37 PM ETÇözümleyici
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Trader consensus prices "No" at 70.5% for a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by end-2026, reflecting stalled diplomacy amid ongoing military actions and incompatible demands over territory and security guarantees. The recent 32-hour Orthodox Easter truce from April 11-12 collapsed amid mutual accusations of over 2,000 violations, including assaults and strikes, failing to build momentum for broader peace talks. US-mediated trilateral discussions in Geneva signaled limited progress but hit impasse on eastern territorial claims, with Zelenskyy aides noting difficult negotiations unresolved after 12 years of tensions. Russian missile and drone strikes continued as late as April 15, underscoring de-escalation barriers, while distractions like the Iran ceasefire have sidelined Ukraine focus without advancing a comprehensive deal.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular