Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap of $1.5T–$2.0T at 38.5% implied probability, aligned with recent reports of the company's confidential SEC filing targeting $1.75T–over $2T valuations for a potential June listing. This positioning stems from SpaceX's explosive Starlink satellite constellation growth—projected $15B–$16B revenue in 2025—coupled with its February 2026 merger with xAI, enhancing AI-driven orbital data centers and autonomous operations. Fresh catalysts include April 15 disclosures of investor site visits and an early June roadshow, boosting momentum while low odds for no IPO before 2028 (2.8%) reflect strong execution on reusable Falcon and Starship vehicles. Uncertainties like market volatility could cap upside into higher brackets.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi$1,798,244 Hac.
$1,798,244 Hac.
<1,0T
3%
1,0T-1,5T
6%
1,5T-2,0T
39%
2,0T-2,5T
23%
2,5T-3,0T
13%
3,0T-3,5T
12%
3,5T+
4%
2028'den önce halka arz yok
3%
$1,798,244 Hac.
$1,798,244 Hac.
<1,0T
$55,470 Hac.
3%
1,0T-1,5T
$37,508 Hac.
6%
1,5T-2,0T
$51,633 Hac.
39%
2,0T-2,5T
$49,414 Hac.
23%
2,5T-3,0T
$807,102 Hac.
13%
3,0T-3,5T
$473,111 Hac.
12%
3,5T+
$56,259 Hac.
4%
2028'den önce halka arz yok
$267,747 Hac.
3%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap of $1.5T–$2.0T at 38.5% implied probability, aligned with recent reports of the company's confidential SEC filing targeting $1.75T–over $2T valuations for a potential June listing. This positioning stems from SpaceX's explosive Starlink satellite constellation growth—projected $15B–$16B revenue in 2025—coupled with its February 2026 merger with xAI, enhancing AI-driven orbital data centers and autonomous operations. Fresh catalysts include April 15 disclosures of investor site visits and an early June roadshow, boosting momentum while low odds for no IPO before 2028 (2.8%) reflect strong execution on reusable Falcon and Starship vehicles. Uncertainties like market volatility could cap upside into higher brackets.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Hacim
$1,798,244Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap of $1.5T–$2.0T at 38.5% implied probability, aligned with recent reports of the company's confidential SEC filing targeting $1.75T–over $2T valuations for a potential June listing. This positioning stems from SpaceX's explosive Starlink satellite constellation growth—projected $15B–$16B revenue in 2025—coupled with its February 2026 merger with xAI, enhancing AI-driven orbital data centers and autonomous operations. Fresh catalysts include April 15 disclosures of investor site visits and an early June roadshow, boosting momentum while low odds for no IPO before 2028 (2.8%) reflect strong execution on reusable Falcon and Starship vehicles. Uncertainties like market volatility could cap upside into higher brackets.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Hacim
$1,798,244Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap of $1.5T–$2.0T at 38.5% implied probability, aligned with recent reports of the company's confidential SEC filing targeting $1.75T–over $2T valuations for a potential June listing. This positioning stems from SpaceX's explosive Starlink satellite constellation growth—projected $15B–$16B revenue in 2025—coupled with its February 2026 merger with xAI, enhancing AI-driven orbital data centers and autonomous operations. Fresh catalysts include April 15 disclosures of investor site visits and an early June roadshow, boosting momentum while low odds for no IPO before 2028 (2.8%) reflect strong execution on reusable Falcon and Starship vehicles. Uncertainties like market volatility could cap upside into higher brackets.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular