Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Morgan Stanley at 44.5% implied probability to lead SpaceX's blockbuster IPO, code-named Project Apex, reflecting its deep ties to Elon Musk from underwriting Tesla's 2010 debut and the February 2026 return of veteran banker Michael Grimes as investment banking chairman. Recent Reuters and CNBC reports from late March and early April confirm Morgan Stanley alongside Goldman Sachs (26.5%), Bank of America (17.3%), JPMorgan, and Citigroup as active bookrunners among 21 banks for the potential $40-80 billion offering targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and early June roadshow. Odds shifted from Goldman earlier this year amid no official lead designation, with traders eyeing SpaceX's Starship milestones and regulatory progress as catalysts ahead of resolution.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiMorgan Stanley 45%
Goldman Sachs 27%
Bank of America 17.1%
JPMorgan 1.6%
$1,392,770 Hac.
$1,392,770 Hac.

Morgan Stanley
45%

Goldman Sachs
27%

Bank of America
17%

JPMorgan
2%

Citigroup
1%

Barclays
<1%

Deutsche Bank
<1%

UBS
<1%

Wells Fargo
<1%
Morgan Stanley 45%
Goldman Sachs 27%
Bank of America 17.1%
JPMorgan 1.6%
$1,392,770 Hac.
$1,392,770 Hac.

Morgan Stanley
45%

Goldman Sachs
27%

Bank of America
17%

JPMorgan
2%

Citigroup
1%

Barclays
<1%

Deutsche Bank
<1%

UBS
<1%

Wells Fargo
<1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Dec 25, 2025, 1:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Morgan Stanley at 44.5% implied probability to lead SpaceX's blockbuster IPO, code-named Project Apex, reflecting its deep ties to Elon Musk from underwriting Tesla's 2010 debut and the February 2026 return of veteran banker Michael Grimes as investment banking chairman. Recent Reuters and CNBC reports from late March and early April confirm Morgan Stanley alongside Goldman Sachs (26.5%), Bank of America (17.3%), JPMorgan, and Citigroup as active bookrunners among 21 banks for the potential $40-80 billion offering targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and early June roadshow. Odds shifted from Goldman earlier this year amid no official lead designation, with traders eyeing SpaceX's Starship milestones and regulatory progress as catalysts ahead of resolution.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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