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California Rainy Day Fund Proposition

icon for California Rainy Day Fund Proposition

California Rainy Day Fund Proposition

64% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
64% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
Proposition 2 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would allow the state to deposit up to 20% of its general fund tax revenue into its rainy day fund each year, instead of the current 10%. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).California leaders advanced the Save for California’s Future Act through the Legislature in late June 2026 with strong majorities, placing Proposition 2 on the November ballot as a legislatively referred constitutional amendment. The measure would raise the Budget Stabilization Account cap from 10% to 20% of general fund revenues, boost deposits during high capital gains years, expand eligible debt payments including unemployment insurance obligations, and adjust Gann Limit treatment for reserves. Backed by Governor Newsom and Democratic majorities, the proposal addresses revenue volatility while protecting school funding formulas. Minimal Republican opposition in floor votes and the absence of major competing campaigns since placement have supported trader views of likely passage.

Proposition 2 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would allow the state to deposit up to 20% of its general fund tax revenue into its rainy day fund each year, instead of the current 10%.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Обсяг
$834
Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 1, 2026, 6:30 PM ET
Proposition 2 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would allow the state to deposit up to 20% of its general fund tax revenue into its rainy day fund each year, instead of the current 10%. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Proposition 2 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would allow the state to deposit up to 20% of its general fund tax revenue into its rainy day fund each year, instead of the current 10%. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).California leaders advanced the Save for California’s Future Act through the Legislature in late June 2026 with strong majorities, placing Proposition 2 on the November ballot as a legislatively referred constitutional amendment. The measure would raise the Budget Stabilization Account cap from 10% to 20% of general fund revenues, boost deposits during high capital gains years, expand eligible debt payments including unemployment insurance obligations, and adjust Gann Limit treatment for reserves. Backed by Governor Newsom and Democratic majorities, the proposal addresses revenue volatility while protecting school funding formulas. Minimal Republican opposition in floor votes and the absence of major competing campaigns since placement have supported trader views of likely passage.

Proposition 2 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would allow the state to deposit up to 20% of its general fund tax revenue into its rainy day fund each year, instead of the current 10%.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Обсяг
$834
Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 1, 2026, 6:30 PM ET
Proposition 2 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would allow the state to deposit up to 20% of its general fund tax revenue into its rainy day fund each year, instead of the current 10%. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«California Rainy Day Fund Proposition» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 71% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 71¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 71%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«California Rainy Day Fund Proposition» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Jul 1, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «California Rainy Day Fund Proposition», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «California Rainy Day Fund Proposition» — 71% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 71% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «California Rainy Day Fund Proposition» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.