The market's near-certain consensus on a 30°C high for Hong Kong on May 31 stems from the Hong Kong Observatory's official daily maximum observation, which aligned precisely with that threshold following several days of extreme heat. An upper-level anticyclone had driven peak readings of 33–34°C earlier in the week, but moderating influences including increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and a shift in steering patterns lowered the afternoon maximum on the 31st. Historical May climatology for the region shows typical highs near 29–30°C, providing context for why traders viewed this outcome as locked in once preliminary data emerged. Only a late revision to the official record or station-specific measurement discrepancy could alter resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 31?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 31?
30°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$266,570 Обс.
$266,570 Обс.
May 31, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$266,570 Обс.
$266,570 Обс.
May 31, 2026
22°C or below
$2,341 Обс.
No
23°C
$441 Обс.
No
24°C
$1,441 Обс.
No
25°C
$441 Обс.
No
26°C
$1,468 Обс.
No
27°C
$8,737 Обс.
No
28°C
$14,066 Обс.
No
29°C
$61,109 Обс.
No
30°C
$105,486 Обс.
Yes
31°C
$29,072 Обс.
No
32°C or higher
$41,967 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's near-certain consensus on a 30°C high for Hong Kong on May 31 stems from the Hong Kong Observatory's official daily maximum observation, which aligned precisely with that threshold following several days of extreme heat. An upper-level anticyclone had driven peak readings of 33–34°C earlier in the week, but moderating influences including increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and a shift in steering patterns lowered the afternoon maximum on the 31st. Historical May climatology for the region shows typical highs near 29–30°C, providing context for why traders viewed this outcome as locked in once preliminary data emerged. Only a late revision to the official record or station-specific measurement discrepancy could alter resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Обсяг
$266,570Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's near-certain consensus on a 30°C high for Hong Kong on May 31 stems from the Hong Kong Observatory's official daily maximum observation, which aligned precisely with that threshold following several days of extreme heat. An upper-level anticyclone had driven peak readings of 33–34°C earlier in the week, but moderating influences including increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and a shift in steering patterns lowered the afternoon maximum on the 31st. Historical May climatology for the region shows typical highs near 29–30°C, providing context for why traders viewed this outcome as locked in once preliminary data emerged. Only a late revision to the official record or station-specific measurement discrepancy could alter resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$266,570Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
The market's near-certain consensus on a 30°C high for Hong Kong on May 31 stems from the Hong Kong Observatory's official daily maximum observation, which aligned precisely with that threshold following several days of extreme heat. An upper-level anticyclone had driven peak readings of 33–34°C earlier in the week, but moderating influences including increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and a shift in steering patterns lowered the afternoon maximum on the 31st. Historical May climatology for the region shows typical highs near 29–30°C, providing context for why traders viewed this outcome as locked in once preliminary data emerged. Only a late revision to the official record or station-specific measurement discrepancy could alter resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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