Persistent late-summer high pressure over Texas, combined with strong solar heating and southerly Gulf flow delivering high dew points, positions Houston for a peak temperature centered in the mid-to-upper 90s on August 16. National Weather Service guidance and recent model runs indicate mostly sunny skies with only modest sea-breeze moderation, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on 96–97 °F (53 % implied probability) while allowing limited upside to 98–99 °F if convection remains suppressed. Historical August climatology—daily highs averaging 93–95 °F—provides context for why traders assign just 24.5 % to 94–95 °F and minimal odds below 93 °F or above 100 °F, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band around current atmospheric conditions and the low likelihood of significant cloud cover or stronger onshore flow altering the outcome today.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Houston on August 16?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 16?
96-97°F 54%
94-95°F 24%
98-99°F 20%
92-93°F 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 16, 2026
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
24%
96-97°F
54%
98-99°F
20%
100-101°F
3%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 54%
94-95°F 24%
98-99°F 20%
92-93°F 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 16, 2026
87°F or below
$44 Обс.
<1%
88-89°F
$643 Обс.
<1%
90-91°F
$239 Обс.
1%
92-93°F
$402 Обс.
4%
94-95°F
$663 Обс.
24%
96-97°F
$1,475 Обс.
54%
98-99°F
$380 Обс.
20%
100-101°F
$236 Обс.
3%
102-103°F
$167 Обс.
1%
104-105°F
$56 Обс.
<1%
106°F or higher
$658 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent late-summer high pressure over Texas, combined with strong solar heating and southerly Gulf flow delivering high dew points, positions Houston for a peak temperature centered in the mid-to-upper 90s on August 16. National Weather Service guidance and recent model runs indicate mostly sunny skies with only modest sea-breeze moderation, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on 96–97 °F (53 % implied probability) while allowing limited upside to 98–99 °F if convection remains suppressed. Historical August climatology—daily highs averaging 93–95 °F—provides context for why traders assign just 24.5 % to 94–95 °F and minimal odds below 93 °F or above 100 °F, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band around current atmospheric conditions and the low likelihood of significant cloud cover or stronger onshore flow altering the outcome today.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 15, 2026, 4:02 PM ET
Обсяг
$4,962Дата завершення
Aug 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 15, 2026, 4:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent late-summer high pressure over Texas, combined with strong solar heating and southerly Gulf flow delivering high dew points, positions Houston for a peak temperature centered in the mid-to-upper 90s on August 16. National Weather Service guidance and recent model runs indicate mostly sunny skies with only modest sea-breeze moderation, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on 96–97 °F (53 % implied probability) while allowing limited upside to 98–99 °F if convection remains suppressed. Historical August climatology—daily highs averaging 93–95 °F—provides context for why traders assign just 24.5 % to 94–95 °F and minimal odds below 93 °F or above 100 °F, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band around current atmospheric conditions and the low likelihood of significant cloud cover or stronger onshore flow altering the outcome today.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$4,962Дата завершення
Aug 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 15, 2026, 4:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent late-summer high pressure over Texas, combined with strong solar heating and southerly Gulf flow delivering high dew points, positions Houston for a peak temperature centered in the mid-to-upper 90s on August 16. National Weather Service guidance and recent model runs indicate mostly sunny skies with only modest sea-breeze moderation, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on 96–97 °F (53 % implied probability) while allowing limited upside to 98–99 °F if convection remains suppressed. Historical August climatology—daily highs averaging 93–95 °F—provides context for why traders assign just 24.5 % to 94–95 °F and minimal odds below 93 °F or above 100 °F, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band around current atmospheric conditions and the low likelihood of significant cloud cover or stronger onshore flow altering the outcome today.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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