Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF consensus on a maximum temperature near 23–25°C for Istanbul on September 15, with partly cloudy skies, light to moderate northerly winds, and minimal precipitation risk driving the market's heavy weighting toward 23°C. This aligns with early-September climatology, where average highs hover around 23–24°C, and recent observations show stable conditions without strong warm-air advection or heat-wave signals. Short-term model runs exhibit limited spread, though minor revisions in boundary-layer moisture or cloud cover could shift the peak by 1°C. Traders appear to price in this consensus ahead of official station readings, which resolve the market based on the day's recorded maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 15?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 15?
23°C 64%
22°C 20%
24°C 11%
21°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 15, 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
20%
23°C
64%
24°C
11%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 64%
22°C 20%
24°C 11%
21°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 15, 2026
18°C or below
$308 Обс.
1%
19°C
$114 Обс.
1%
20°C
$112 Обс.
1%
21°C
$54 Обс.
4%
22°C
$155 Обс.
20%
23°C
$449 Обс.
64%
24°C
$146 Обс.
11%
25°C
$92 Обс.
3%
26°C
$184 Обс.
1%
27°C
$36 Обс.
1%
28°C or higher
$66 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF consensus on a maximum temperature near 23–25°C for Istanbul on September 15, with partly cloudy skies, light to moderate northerly winds, and minimal precipitation risk driving the market's heavy weighting toward 23°C. This aligns with early-September climatology, where average highs hover around 23–24°C, and recent observations show stable conditions without strong warm-air advection or heat-wave signals. Short-term model runs exhibit limited spread, though minor revisions in boundary-layer moisture or cloud cover could shift the peak by 1°C. Traders appear to price in this consensus ahead of official station readings, which resolve the market based on the day's recorded maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,715Дата завершення
Sep 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF consensus on a maximum temperature near 23–25°C for Istanbul on September 15, with partly cloudy skies, light to moderate northerly winds, and minimal precipitation risk driving the market's heavy weighting toward 23°C. This aligns with early-September climatology, where average highs hover around 23–24°C, and recent observations show stable conditions without strong warm-air advection or heat-wave signals. Short-term model runs exhibit limited spread, though minor revisions in boundary-layer moisture or cloud cover could shift the peak by 1°C. Traders appear to price in this consensus ahead of official station readings, which resolve the market based on the day's recorded maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,715Дата завершення
Sep 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF consensus on a maximum temperature near 23–25°C for Istanbul on September 15, with partly cloudy skies, light to moderate northerly winds, and minimal precipitation risk driving the market's heavy weighting toward 23°C. This aligns with early-September climatology, where average highs hover around 23–24°C, and recent observations show stable conditions without strong warm-air advection or heat-wave signals. Short-term model runs exhibit limited spread, though minor revisions in boundary-layer moisture or cloud cover could shift the peak by 1°C. Traders appear to price in this consensus ahead of official station readings, which resolve the market based on the day's recorded maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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