Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with NOAA and European centers, indicate a stable high-pressure pattern with mostly sunny skies and northeasterly winds of 10-20 km/h over Istanbul on September 3, supporting a daily maximum temperature of 27-29°C. This aligns with early-September climatology near 27-28°C and recent observations showing daytime peaks around 28-30°C without significant moisture or frontal activity to alter the trend. Trader consensus heavily weighting 26°C likely reflects model spread, potential measurement at the official station, or slight cooling signals in the latest runs, while lower probabilities for 27-28°C capture upside risks from any model underestimation of insolation. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine these short-term probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 3?
26°C 60%
25°C 21%
27°C 16%
28°C 4%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
21%
26°C
60%
27°C
16%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 60%
25°C 21%
27°C 16%
28°C 4%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
21%
26°C
60%
27°C
16%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with NOAA and European centers, indicate a stable high-pressure pattern with mostly sunny skies and northeasterly winds of 10-20 km/h over Istanbul on September 3, supporting a daily maximum temperature of 27-29°C. This aligns with early-September climatology near 27-28°C and recent observations showing daytime peaks around 28-30°C without significant moisture or frontal activity to alter the trend. Trader consensus heavily weighting 26°C likely reflects model spread, potential measurement at the official station, or slight cooling signals in the latest runs, while lower probabilities for 27-28°C capture upside risks from any model underestimation of insolation. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine these short-term probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання