Strong model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international guidance supports highs of 30–32°C in Jinan on August 31 under clear to mostly sunny skies, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging, northerly flow, and negligible cloud cover or precipitation. Recent local observations confirm stabilization after earlier scattered showers, with daytime heating under dry conditions pushing temperatures well above the 26°C threshold. This positions the 99.4% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher as a reflection of low forecast uncertainty. Only an unanticipated frontal surge or major model revision could alter the outcome, though current stability makes such shifts improbable before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Jinan on August 31?
Highest temperature in Jinan on August 31?
26°C or higher 99.4%
25°C 1.1%
24°C <1%
21°C <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
99%
26°C or higher 99.4%
25°C 1.1%
24°C <1%
21°C <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
16°C or below
$970 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$970 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$970 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$970 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$220 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$45 Обс.
1%
22°C
$45 Обс.
1%
23°C
$47 Обс.
1%
24°C
$46 Обс.
1%
25°C
$70 Обс.
1%
26°C or higher
$646 Обс.
99%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international guidance supports highs of 30–32°C in Jinan on August 31 under clear to mostly sunny skies, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging, northerly flow, and negligible cloud cover or precipitation. Recent local observations confirm stabilization after earlier scattered showers, with daytime heating under dry conditions pushing temperatures well above the 26°C threshold. This positions the 99.4% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher as a reflection of low forecast uncertainty. Only an unanticipated frontal surge or major model revision could alter the outcome, though current stability makes such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$4,997Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international guidance supports highs of 30–32°C in Jinan on August 31 under clear to mostly sunny skies, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging, northerly flow, and negligible cloud cover or precipitation. Recent local observations confirm stabilization after earlier scattered showers, with daytime heating under dry conditions pushing temperatures well above the 26°C threshold. This positions the 99.4% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher as a reflection of low forecast uncertainty. Only an unanticipated frontal surge or major model revision could alter the outcome, though current stability makes such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$4,997Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Strong model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international guidance supports highs of 30–32°C in Jinan on August 31 under clear to mostly sunny skies, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging, northerly flow, and negligible cloud cover or precipitation. Recent local observations confirm stabilization after earlier scattered showers, with daytime heating under dry conditions pushing temperatures well above the 26°C threshold. This positions the 99.4% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher as a reflection of low forecast uncertainty. Only an unanticipated frontal surge or major model revision could alter the outcome, though current stability makes such shifts improbable before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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