Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a high of 31°C or higher in Panama City, Panama, driven by official long-range forecasts and ensemble model agreement from GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks of 32–34°C today under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and convection. April climatology reinforces this, with average highs of 32°C and daily maxima rarely dipping below 29°C amid low humidity for the season and calm winds. Morning observations already exceed 28°C, aligning with historical patterns of rapid diurnal heating in the urban heat island. Realistic challenges include unforeseen isolated thunderstorms or enhanced sea breeze onshore flow capping temperatures, though current atmospheric stability renders these low-probability events; monitor hourly updates from local meteorological stations through late afternoon for final confirmation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Panama City on April 20?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 20?
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$25,020 Обс.
$25,020 Обс.
Apr 20, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
Yes
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$25,020 Обс.
$25,020 Обс.
Apr 20, 2026
21°C or below
$698 Обс.
No
22°C
$760 Обс.
No
23°C
$708 Обс.
No
24°C
$745 Обс.
No
25°C
$3,595 Обс.
No
26°C
$3,855 Обс.
No
27°C
$1,197 Обс.
No
28°C
$1,251 Обс.
No
29°C
$2,762 Обс.
No
30°C
$4,684 Обс.
No
31°C or higher
$4,766 Обс.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a high of 31°C or higher in Panama City, Panama, driven by official long-range forecasts and ensemble model agreement from GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks of 32–34°C today under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and convection. April climatology reinforces this, with average highs of 32°C and daily maxima rarely dipping below 29°C amid low humidity for the season and calm winds. Morning observations already exceed 28°C, aligning with historical patterns of rapid diurnal heating in the urban heat island. Realistic challenges include unforeseen isolated thunderstorms or enhanced sea breeze onshore flow capping temperatures, though current atmospheric stability renders these low-probability events; monitor hourly updates from local meteorological stations through late afternoon for final confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Обсяг
$25,020Дата завершення
Apr 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a high of 31°C or higher in Panama City, Panama, driven by official long-range forecasts and ensemble model agreement from GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks of 32–34°C today under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and convection. April climatology reinforces this, with average highs of 32°C and daily maxima rarely dipping below 29°C amid low humidity for the season and calm winds. Morning observations already exceed 28°C, aligning with historical patterns of rapid diurnal heating in the urban heat island. Realistic challenges include unforeseen isolated thunderstorms or enhanced sea breeze onshore flow capping temperatures, though current atmospheric stability renders these low-probability events; monitor hourly updates from local meteorological stations through late afternoon for final confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$25,020Дата завершення
Apr 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a high of 31°C or higher in Panama City, Panama, driven by official long-range forecasts and ensemble model agreement from GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks of 32–34°C today under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and convection. April climatology reinforces this, with average highs of 32°C and daily maxima rarely dipping below 29°C amid low humidity for the season and calm winds. Morning observations already exceed 28°C, aligning with historical patterns of rapid diurnal heating in the urban heat island. Realistic challenges include unforeseen isolated thunderstorms or enhanced sea breeze onshore flow capping temperatures, though current atmospheric stability renders these low-probability events; monitor hourly updates from local meteorological stations through late afternoon for final confirmation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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