The closely matched market-implied odds for 33°C and 34°C as Panama City's July 18 high reflect uncertainty in short-range forecast guidance amid the region's typical wet-season convection. Afternoon thunderstorms driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone often limit peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, with historical July averages near 31–32°C at Tocumen International Airport. Small variations in model consensus on precipitation timing, boundary-layer moisture, or light wind patterns can shift the daily maximum by 1°C, while ENSO-neutral conditions provide no strong large-scale signal. Traders are monitoring the next GFS and ECMWF runs plus local Panamanian meteorological updates for clearer resolution criteria on the exact peak reading.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Panama City on July 18?
Highest temperature in Panama City on July 18?
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$33,157 Обс.
$33,157 Обс.
Jul 18, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$33,157 Обс.
$33,157 Обс.
Jul 18, 2026
28°C or below
$2,248 Обс.
No
29°C
$614 Обс.
No
30°C
$662 Обс.
No
31°C
$3,678 Обс.
No
32°C
$2,246 Обс.
No
33°C
$10,877 Обс.
Yes
34°C
$4,557 Обс.
No
35°C
$4,210 Обс.
No
36°C
$2,845 Обс.
No
37°C
$666 Обс.
No
38°C or higher
$553 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched market-implied odds for 33°C and 34°C as Panama City's July 18 high reflect uncertainty in short-range forecast guidance amid the region's typical wet-season convection. Afternoon thunderstorms driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone often limit peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, with historical July averages near 31–32°C at Tocumen International Airport. Small variations in model consensus on precipitation timing, boundary-layer moisture, or light wind patterns can shift the daily maximum by 1°C, while ENSO-neutral conditions provide no strong large-scale signal. Traders are monitoring the next GFS and ECMWF runs plus local Panamanian meteorological updates for clearer resolution criteria on the exact peak reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 16, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$33,157Дата завершення
Jul 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 16, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched market-implied odds for 33°C and 34°C as Panama City's July 18 high reflect uncertainty in short-range forecast guidance amid the region's typical wet-season convection. Afternoon thunderstorms driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone often limit peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, with historical July averages near 31–32°C at Tocumen International Airport. Small variations in model consensus on precipitation timing, boundary-layer moisture, or light wind patterns can shift the daily maximum by 1°C, while ENSO-neutral conditions provide no strong large-scale signal. Traders are monitoring the next GFS and ECMWF runs plus local Panamanian meteorological updates for clearer resolution criteria on the exact peak reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$33,157Дата завершення
Jul 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 16, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
The closely matched market-implied odds for 33°C and 34°C as Panama City's July 18 high reflect uncertainty in short-range forecast guidance amid the region's typical wet-season convection. Afternoon thunderstorms driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone often limit peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, with historical July averages near 31–32°C at Tocumen International Airport. Small variations in model consensus on precipitation timing, boundary-layer moisture, or light wind patterns can shift the daily maximum by 1°C, while ENSO-neutral conditions provide no strong large-scale signal. Traders are monitoring the next GFS and ECMWF runs plus local Panamanian meteorological updates for clearer resolution criteria on the exact peak reading.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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