**A strong heatwave driven by high-pressure ridging and offshore flow pushed San Francisco temperatures well above seasonal norms on June 11, 2026.** Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and model consensus indicated afternoon highs near or at 90–91 °F at downtown and airport stations, consistent with observed Bay Area readings that day. This aligns with the market’s 100 % implied probability for the 90–91 °F bin, reflecting trader confidence in verified station data once the climatological report is released. Historical June averages near 70 °F underscore how anomalous the event was. The only realistic challenges would involve an unforeseen revision in the final NWS daily summary or station-specific microclimate differences, though current observational agreement makes such outcomes improbable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in San Francisco on June 11?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on June 11?
90-91°F 100.0%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$138,305 Обс.
$138,305 Обс.
Jun 11, 2026
81°F or below
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
Yes
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100°F or higher
No
90-91°F 100.0%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$138,305 Обс.
$138,305 Обс.
Jun 11, 2026
81°F or below
$14,271 Обс.
No
82-83°F
$9,839 Обс.
No
84-85°F
$9,675 Обс.
No
86-87°F
$7,890 Обс.
No
88-89°F
$18,069 Обс.
No
90-91°F
$25,566 Обс.
Yes
92-93°F
$21,059 Обс.
No
94-95°F
$16,766 Обс.
No
96-97°F
$8,912 Обс.
No
98-99°F
$5,327 Обс.
No
100°F or higher
$931 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**A strong heatwave driven by high-pressure ridging and offshore flow pushed San Francisco temperatures well above seasonal norms on June 11, 2026.** Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and model consensus indicated afternoon highs near or at 90–91 °F at downtown and airport stations, consistent with observed Bay Area readings that day. This aligns with the market’s 100 % implied probability for the 90–91 °F bin, reflecting trader confidence in verified station data once the climatological report is released. Historical June averages near 70 °F underscore how anomalous the event was. The only realistic challenges would involve an unforeseen revision in the final NWS daily summary or station-specific microclimate differences, though current observational agreement makes such outcomes improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 9, 2026, 9:08 PM ET
Обсяг
$138,305Дата завершення
Jun 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 9, 2026, 9:08 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**A strong heatwave driven by high-pressure ridging and offshore flow pushed San Francisco temperatures well above seasonal norms on June 11, 2026.** Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and model consensus indicated afternoon highs near or at 90–91 °F at downtown and airport stations, consistent with observed Bay Area readings that day. This aligns with the market’s 100 % implied probability for the 90–91 °F bin, reflecting trader confidence in verified station data once the climatological report is released. Historical June averages near 70 °F underscore how anomalous the event was. The only realistic challenges would involve an unforeseen revision in the final NWS daily summary or station-specific microclimate differences, though current observational agreement makes such outcomes improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$138,305Дата завершення
Jun 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 9, 2026, 9:08 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
**A strong heatwave driven by high-pressure ridging and offshore flow pushed San Francisco temperatures well above seasonal norms on June 11, 2026.** Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and model consensus indicated afternoon highs near or at 90–91 °F at downtown and airport stations, consistent with observed Bay Area readings that day. This aligns with the market’s 100 % implied probability for the 90–91 °F bin, reflecting trader confidence in verified station data once the climatological report is released. Historical June averages near 70 °F underscore how anomalous the event was. The only realistic challenges would involve an unforeseen revision in the final NWS daily summary or station-specific microclimate differences, though current observational agreement makes such outcomes improbable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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