Recent official forecasts and numerical weather prediction model consensus, including runs from ECMWF and GFS, position a daytime maximum of 33°C as the most probable outcome for Tel Aviv on September 15 under mostly clear skies and light northwest winds. This aligns with the market's 67.5% implied probability for 33°C and secondary support for 34°C, reflecting typical late-summer conditions influenced by a stable high-pressure ridge rather than any transient systems. With minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk, temperatures are expected to peak in the early afternoon before moderating overnight, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September when highs often reach the low 30s°C. Updated model guidance ahead of the observation window remains the key near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 15?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 15?
33°C 68%
34°C 26%
32°C 7%
35°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 15, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
7%
33°C
68%
34°C
26%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
33°C 68%
34°C 26%
32°C 7%
35°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 15, 2026
28°C or below
$588 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$248 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$186 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$290 Обс.
2%
32°C
$235 Обс.
7%
33°C
$553 Обс.
68%
34°C
$454 Обс.
26%
35°C
$343 Обс.
3%
36°C
$168 Обс.
1%
37°C
$317 Обс.
1%
38°C or higher
$138 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and numerical weather prediction model consensus, including runs from ECMWF and GFS, position a daytime maximum of 33°C as the most probable outcome for Tel Aviv on September 15 under mostly clear skies and light northwest winds. This aligns with the market's 67.5% implied probability for 33°C and secondary support for 34°C, reflecting typical late-summer conditions influenced by a stable high-pressure ridge rather than any transient systems. With minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk, temperatures are expected to peak in the early afternoon before moderating overnight, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September when highs often reach the low 30s°C. Updated model guidance ahead of the observation window remains the key near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$3,521Дата завершення
Sep 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and numerical weather prediction model consensus, including runs from ECMWF and GFS, position a daytime maximum of 33°C as the most probable outcome for Tel Aviv on September 15 under mostly clear skies and light northwest winds. This aligns with the market's 67.5% implied probability for 33°C and secondary support for 34°C, reflecting typical late-summer conditions influenced by a stable high-pressure ridge rather than any transient systems. With minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk, temperatures are expected to peak in the early afternoon before moderating overnight, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September when highs often reach the low 30s°C. Updated model guidance ahead of the observation window remains the key near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,521Дата завершення
Sep 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts and numerical weather prediction model consensus, including runs from ECMWF and GFS, position a daytime maximum of 33°C as the most probable outcome for Tel Aviv on September 15 under mostly clear skies and light northwest winds. This aligns with the market's 67.5% implied probability for 33°C and secondary support for 34°C, reflecting typical late-summer conditions influenced by a stable high-pressure ridge rather than any transient systems. With minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk, temperatures are expected to peak in the early afternoon before moderating overnight, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September when highs often reach the low 30s°C. Updated model guidance ahead of the observation window remains the key near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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