Trader consensus reflects numerical weather prediction models projecting efficient nighttime radiative cooling under clear, dry conditions in Ankara on September 10, with ensemble forecasts and recent observations indicating the minimum temperature will reach 10°C or below. Daytime highs near 25–30°C and low dew points have supported rapid temperature drops after sunset, aligning with early-September climatology where average lows range 11–14°C at stations like Esenboğa. The near-100% market-implied probability signals strong agreement across model runs with limited uncertainty in steering patterns or boundary-layer conditions. A realistic shift could occur if unexpected cloud cover or warm-air advection develops before official minimum readings finalize, though current synoptic setup favors the cooler outcome. Resolution hinges on verified station data from the Turkish Meteorological Service.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Ankara on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on September 10?
10°C or below 100.0%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$2,724 Обс.
$2,724 Обс.
Sep 10, 2026
10°C or below
Yes
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
10°C or below 100.0%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$2,724 Обс.
$2,724 Обс.
Sep 10, 2026
10°C or below
$554 Обс.
Yes
11°C
$334 Обс.
No
12°C
$361 Обс.
No
13°C
$259 Обс.
No
14°C
$390 Обс.
No
15°C
$349 Обс.
No
16°C
$234 Обс.
No
17°C
$27 Обс.
No
18°C
$45 Обс.
No
19°C
$85 Обс.
No
20°C or higher
$85 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus reflects numerical weather prediction models projecting efficient nighttime radiative cooling under clear, dry conditions in Ankara on September 10, with ensemble forecasts and recent observations indicating the minimum temperature will reach 10°C or below. Daytime highs near 25–30°C and low dew points have supported rapid temperature drops after sunset, aligning with early-September climatology where average lows range 11–14°C at stations like Esenboğa. The near-100% market-implied probability signals strong agreement across model runs with limited uncertainty in steering patterns or boundary-layer conditions. A realistic shift could occur if unexpected cloud cover or warm-air advection develops before official minimum readings finalize, though current synoptic setup favors the cooler outcome. Resolution hinges on verified station data from the Turkish Meteorological Service.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,724Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: Yes
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus reflects numerical weather prediction models projecting efficient nighttime radiative cooling under clear, dry conditions in Ankara on September 10, with ensemble forecasts and recent observations indicating the minimum temperature will reach 10°C or below. Daytime highs near 25–30°C and low dew points have supported rapid temperature drops after sunset, aligning with early-September climatology where average lows range 11–14°C at stations like Esenboğa. The near-100% market-implied probability signals strong agreement across model runs with limited uncertainty in steering patterns or boundary-layer conditions. A realistic shift could occur if unexpected cloud cover or warm-air advection develops before official minimum readings finalize, though current synoptic setup favors the cooler outcome. Resolution hinges on verified station data from the Turkish Meteorological Service.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,724Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: Yes
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: Yes
Trader consensus reflects numerical weather prediction models projecting efficient nighttime radiative cooling under clear, dry conditions in Ankara on September 10, with ensemble forecasts and recent observations indicating the minimum temperature will reach 10°C or below. Daytime highs near 25–30°C and low dew points have supported rapid temperature drops after sunset, aligning with early-September climatology where average lows range 11–14°C at stations like Esenboğa. The near-100% market-implied probability signals strong agreement across model runs with limited uncertainty in steering patterns or boundary-layer conditions. A realistic shift could occur if unexpected cloud cover or warm-air advection develops before official minimum readings finalize, though current synoptic setup favors the cooler outcome. Resolution hinges on verified station data from the Turkish Meteorological Service.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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