**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong's lowest temperature on August 16, 2026, shows overwhelming consensus at 28°C (99.3% implied probability).** This positioning stems from official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts of a 28–33°C range under partly cloudy skies with showers and light winds, aligning with typical mid-August climatology where overnight minima average near 27–28°C. Seasonal outlooks reinforce normal-to-above-normal temperatures amid ongoing summer warmth and high humidity. The market-implied odds reflect traders' assessment of stable steering patterns and limited cooling potential from convection or cloud cover. A shift below 28°C would require an unforecasted cold surge or measurement anomaly at official stations, scenarios viewed as low-probability given current model consensus and real-time observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 16?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 16?
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$26,545 Обс.
$26,545 Обс.
Aug 16, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$26,545 Обс.
$26,545 Обс.
Aug 16, 2026
23°C or below
$1,017 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$1,624 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$3,127 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$3,409 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$2,932 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$7,948 Обс.
100%
29°C
$3,261 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$1,440 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$642 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$605 Обс.
<1%
33°C or higher
$540 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong's lowest temperature on August 16, 2026, shows overwhelming consensus at 28°C (99.3% implied probability).** This positioning stems from official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts of a 28–33°C range under partly cloudy skies with showers and light winds, aligning with typical mid-August climatology where overnight minima average near 27–28°C. Seasonal outlooks reinforce normal-to-above-normal temperatures amid ongoing summer warmth and high humidity.
The market-implied odds reflect traders' assessment of stable steering patterns and limited cooling potential from convection or cloud cover. A shift below 28°C would require an unforecasted cold surge or measurement anomaly at official stations, scenarios viewed as low-probability given current model consensus and real-time observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$26,545Дата завершення
Aug 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong's lowest temperature on August 16, 2026, shows overwhelming consensus at 28°C (99.3% implied probability).** This positioning stems from official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts of a 28–33°C range under partly cloudy skies with showers and light winds, aligning with typical mid-August climatology where overnight minima average near 27–28°C. Seasonal outlooks reinforce normal-to-above-normal temperatures amid ongoing summer warmth and high humidity.
The market-implied odds reflect traders' assessment of stable steering patterns and limited cooling potential from convection or cloud cover. A shift below 28°C would require an unforecasted cold surge or measurement anomaly at official stations, scenarios viewed as low-probability given current model consensus and real-time observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$26,545Дата завершення
Aug 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong's lowest temperature on August 16, 2026, shows overwhelming consensus at 28°C (99.3% implied probability).** This positioning stems from official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts of a 28–33°C range under partly cloudy skies with showers and light winds, aligning with typical mid-August climatology where overnight minima average near 27–28°C. Seasonal outlooks reinforce normal-to-above-normal temperatures amid ongoing summer warmth and high humidity. The market-implied odds reflect traders' assessment of stable steering patterns and limited cooling potential from convection or cloud cover. A shift below 28°C would require an unforecasted cold surge or measurement anomaly at official stations, scenarios viewed as low-probability given current model consensus and real-time observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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