Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm the lowest temperature on May 4, 2026, hit 21°C at the reference station in King's Park, recorded via standardized maximum-minimum thermometers under mainly cloudy skies and light easterly winds that limited nocturnal cooling. This aligns precisely with HKO's pre-event 9-day forecast projecting a 21°C minimum amid normal to above-normal seasonal temperatures for May, where historical averages hover around 24°C but recent trough passages allowed a modest dip. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified data from official monitoring, embodying skin-in-the-game alignment with meteorological ground truth. Realistic challenges include a post-audit discovery of a lower reading from a secondary station or rare equipment recalibration, though HKO's rigorous quality controls make such revisions exceedingly unlikely.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 4?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 4?
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$13,640 Обс.
$13,640 Обс.
May 4, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$13,640 Обс.
$13,640 Обс.
May 4, 2026
15°C or below
$530 Обс.
No
16°C
$613 Обс.
No
17°C
$592 Обс.
No
18°C
$1,547 Обс.
No
19°C
$1,088 Обс.
No
20°C
$1,957 Обс.
No
21°C
$2,273 Обс.
Yes
22°C
$2,185 Обс.
No
23°C
$1,569 Обс.
No
24°C
$815 Обс.
No
25°C or higher
$472 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm the lowest temperature on May 4, 2026, hit 21°C at the reference station in King's Park, recorded via standardized maximum-minimum thermometers under mainly cloudy skies and light easterly winds that limited nocturnal cooling. This aligns precisely with HKO's pre-event 9-day forecast projecting a 21°C minimum amid normal to above-normal seasonal temperatures for May, where historical averages hover around 24°C but recent trough passages allowed a modest dip. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified data from official monitoring, embodying skin-in-the-game alignment with meteorological ground truth. Realistic challenges include a post-audit discovery of a lower reading from a secondary station or rare equipment recalibration, though HKO's rigorous quality controls make such revisions exceedingly unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$13,640Дата завершення
May 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm the lowest temperature on May 4, 2026, hit 21°C at the reference station in King's Park, recorded via standardized maximum-minimum thermometers under mainly cloudy skies and light easterly winds that limited nocturnal cooling. This aligns precisely with HKO's pre-event 9-day forecast projecting a 21°C minimum amid normal to above-normal seasonal temperatures for May, where historical averages hover around 24°C but recent trough passages allowed a modest dip. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified data from official monitoring, embodying skin-in-the-game alignment with meteorological ground truth. Realistic challenges include a post-audit discovery of a lower reading from a secondary station or rare equipment recalibration, though HKO's rigorous quality controls make such revisions exceedingly unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$13,640Дата завершення
May 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm the lowest temperature on May 4, 2026, hit 21°C at the reference station in King's Park, recorded via standardized maximum-minimum thermometers under mainly cloudy skies and light easterly winds that limited nocturnal cooling. This aligns precisely with HKO's pre-event 9-day forecast projecting a 21°C minimum amid normal to above-normal seasonal temperatures for May, where historical averages hover around 24°C but recent trough passages allowed a modest dip. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified data from official monitoring, embodying skin-in-the-game alignment with meteorological ground truth. Realistic challenges include a post-audit discovery of a lower reading from a secondary station or rare equipment recalibration, though HKO's rigorous quality controls make such revisions exceedingly unlikely.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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